TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13131782
Played Sep 15Finished
Dalibor Velky Jr
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1214101211912101012
Lukas Kantor
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:24 and never touched — 55.1% is still 55.1%
Graded at full timeLukas Kantor to win
55.1%
55.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDalibor Velky Jr above · Lukas Kantor below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 112 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Lukas Kantor at 55.1%
112 points played in total.
H2H Dalibor Velky Jr 11–5 Lukas Kantor Lukas Kantor has won 5 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:24What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kantor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-5 in 16
Jr
Wrong
gap of 6 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1648 vs Kantor 1533
Jr
Wrong
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 60% vs Kantor 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 60% vs Kantor 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr -1 · Kantor -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kantor) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 2.00 / Kantor 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kantor)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13131782
Jr2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog50% won 110 of 220
Down 0–1, comes back26% 28 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 49
Kantor1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite48% won 25 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it78% 18 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr6wins
AwayKantor4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderJr leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr100%5 of 5
AwayKantor80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr5Kantor5n = 10split evenly
S2Jr3Kantor7n = 10Kantor took 7 of 10
S3Jr3Kantor7n = 10Kantor took 7 of 10
S4Jr7Kantor0n = 7Jr took 7 of 7
S5Jr4Kantor2n = 6Jr took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrKantorJ − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.041.7+1.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrKantorBasisWin rate · lifetime267 / 534 vs 178 / 35550%50.1%267 / 534 vs 178 / 355Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KantorJr 2.00/Kantor 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kantor · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kantor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 12:10D. Jr5512101112102L. Kantor571412910123
LAug 5 · 12:10D. Jr2410680L. Kantor341211113
WJun 19 · 07:15D. Jr5611121111113L. Kantor4471413552
WJun 11 · 08:15D. Jr471011411113L. Kantor4112611392
WJun 4 · 07:40D. Jr3811115113L. Kantor31951161
WMay 28 · 12:10D. Jr351113113L. Kantor2151150
LMay 26 · 08:10D. Jr2678110L. Kantor351111133
WMay 19 · 08:55D. Jr42113611113L. Kantor4181111472
LMay 19 · 07:15D. Jr4798111182L. Kantor51111199113
WMay 5 · 09:25D. Jr601215411183L. Kantor621017118162
D. Jr10
LSep 15 · 12:53M. Macurak1.7391111113D. Jr2.00119971LSep 15 · 10:40M. Macurak1.73121111123D. Jr2.001458101WSep 15 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.57911101142D. Jr2.25113124113LSep 13 · 21:14M. Macurak1.8311136113D. Jr1.835111181WSep 13 · 19:40M. Macurak1.67101191182D. Jr2.10124116113WSep 13 · 19:10R. Sedlacek1.536980D. Jr2.381111113LSep 13 · 18:10D. Jr1.8011119792M. Moravec1.91991111113WSep 13 · 17:20J. Krupnik1.53131111882D. Jr2.38154411113WSep 13 · 16:10R. Benes2.0091113782D. Jr1.731131111113LSep 13 · 15:10D. Jr2.20681161J. Krupnik1.6111116113
L. Kantor10
LSep 15 · 11:10L. Kantor2.5011631152J. Krupnik1.50911117113WSep 15 · 09:40M. Macurak1.40811101122L. Kantor2.75116127113WSep 12 · 09:08A. Kanak1.447860L. Kantor2.631111113LSep 12 · 07:45A. Kanak1.611111113L. Kantor2.204860WSep 12 · 07:15V. Konvicka1.91121111992L. Kantor1.801013711113WSep 12 · 06:15L. Kantor1.911111203T. Lysek1.8059180WSep 9 · 12:39R. Benes1.4091270L. Kantor2.751114113LSep 9 · 12:10R. Sedlacek1.3611117113L. Kantor3.00771171LSep 9 · 11:10L. Kantor2.63691161R. Benes1.4411118113LSep 9 · 09:40J. Skvrna1.5710141511113L. Kantor2.25121217592
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