TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13132109
Played Sep 15Finished
Lukas Kantor
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119611311117511
Jan Krupnik
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:06 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeJan Krupnik to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Kantor above · Jan Krupnik below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 85 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Jan Krupnik at 63.3%
85 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Kantor 6–11 Jan Krupnik Lukas Kantor has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:06What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Krupnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-11 in 17
Krupnik
Correct
gap of 5 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kantor 1527 vs Krupnik 1585
Krupnik
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kantor 80% vs Krupnik 40%
Kantor
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kantor 50% vs Krupnik 30%
Kantor
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kantor +2 · Krupnik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Krupnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krupnik form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKantor 2.50 / Krupnik 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Krupnik)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13132109
Kantor2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 55 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back18% 11 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38
Krupnik1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 136 of 244
Up 2–0, closes it95% 59 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it72% 94 of 130
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKantor4wins
AwayKrupnik6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKrupnik leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKantor60%3 of 5
AwayKrupnik80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kantor5Krupnik5n = 10split evenly
S2Kantor2Krupnik8n = 10Krupnik took 8 of 10
S3Kantor6Krupnik4n = 10Kantor took 6 of 10
S4Kantor4Krupnik3n = 7Kantor took 4 of 7
S5Kantor1Krupnik3n = 4Krupnik took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKantorKrupnikKantor − KrupnikBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.241.7−2.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKantorKrupnikBasisWin rate · lifetime177 / 353 vs 455 / 88650.1%51.4%177 / 353 vs 455 / 886Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupnikKantor 2.50/Krupnik 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Krupnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Krupnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 12:45L. Kantor258890J. Krupnik331111113
WSep 3 · 09:40L. Kantor3911611113J. Krupnik37911981
LJul 28 · 09:19L. Kantor2711970J. Krupnik351311113
LJul 28 · 05:45L. Kantor3711116182J. Krupnik47771111113
LJun 26 · 06:40L. Kantor531111119112J. Krupnik49413811133
LJun 15 · 08:40L. Kantor4447111662J. Krupnik551111814113
LJun 15 · 08:10L. Kantor2349100J. Krupnik341111123
WJun 11 · 08:50L. Kantor581810136113J. Krupnik561612111162
WJun 11 · 05:45L. Kantor3911611113J. Krupnik31911561
WJun 1 · 09:20L. Kantor47121311113J. Krupnik401411691
L. Kantor10
WSep 15 · 12:10D. Jr2.0012101112102L. Kantor1.731412910123WSep 15 · 09:40M. Macurak1.40811101122L. Kantor2.75116127113WSep 12 · 09:08A. Kanak1.447860L. Kantor2.631111113LSep 12 · 07:45A. Kanak1.611111113L. Kantor2.204860WSep 12 · 07:15V. Konvicka1.91121111992L. Kantor1.801013711113WSep 12 · 06:15L. Kantor1.911111203T. Lysek1.8059180WSep 9 · 12:39R. Benes1.4091270L. Kantor2.751114113LSep 9 · 12:10R. Sedlacek1.3611117113L. Kantor3.00771171LSep 9 · 11:10L. Kantor2.63691161R. Benes1.4411118113LSep 9 · 09:40J. Skvrna1.5710141511113L. Kantor2.25121217592
J. Krupnik10
WSep 15 · 11:40M. Macurak1.5771111992J. Krupnik2.25115411113LSep 15 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.57911101142D. Jr2.25113124113WSep 15 · 08:43J. Krupnik2.10771112113J. Gembala1.67111161072WSep 15 · 07:45J. Gembala1.5713101181J. Krupnik2.2515124113LSep 15 · 07:15T. Krenek1.9111116113J. Krupnik1.80641151LSep 15 · 06:15J. Krupnik1.5711119792T. Grmela2.25891111113LSep 14 · 12:45J. Krupnik1.67134781T. Kindl2.10111111113LSep 14 · 11:45J. Krupnik1.9110101111102J. Skvrna1.80121296123WSep 14 · 10:45J. Krupnik1.801111113T. Kindl1.917470LSep 14 · 09:45J. Krupnik1.8311511772R. Benes1.83411911113
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