TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13134183
Played Sep 15Finished
Jan Krupnik
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7117111161210117
Jan Gembala
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJan Krupnik above · Jan Gembala below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 93 set 5, 11-7
93 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krupnik 9–13 Jan Gembala Jan Krupnik has won 9 of their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Krupnik beat Gembala 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Gembala)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gembala form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrupnik 2.10 / Gembala 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Gembala)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13134183
Krupnik2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 93 of 196
Down 0–1, comes back28% 23 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 41
Gembala1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 80 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it98% 49 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it78% 64 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrupnik5wins
AwayGembala5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrupnik83.3%5 of 6
AwayGembala100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krupnik6Gembala4n = 10Krupnik took 6 of 10
S2Krupnik2Gembala8n = 10Gembala took 8 of 10
S3Krupnik5Gembala5n = 10split evenly
S4Krupnik3Gembala6n = 9Gembala took 6 of 9
S5Krupnik4Gembala1n = 5Krupnik took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrupnikGembalaK − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.143.1−4.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrupnikGembalaBasisWin rate · lifetime454 / 884 vs 207 / 38151.4%54.3%454 / 884 vs 207 / 381Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GembalaKrupnik 2.10/Gembala 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Gembala · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Krupnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 07:45J. Krupnik4215124113J. Gembala4213101181
WSep 11 · 06:10J. Krupnik48119116113J. Gembala4381181152
WAug 23 · 20:38J. Krupnik46115117123J. Gembala43811311102
WAug 23 · 17:40J. Krupnik53118147133J. Gembala549111211112
LAug 18 · 09:40J. Krupnik4411951182J. Gembala51911119113
LMay 23 · 09:40J. Krupnik21311611J. Gembala4111811113
LMay 18 · 07:40J. Krupnik227960J. Gembala331111113
LMay 16 · 21:25J. Krupnik391091191J. Gembala4312119113
WMay 16 · 19:15J. Krupnik45116611113J. Gembala3941111492
LMay 12 · 18:15J. Krupnik31691151J. Gembala4211119113
J. Krupnik10
WSep 15 · 07:45J. Gembala1.5713101181J. Krupnik2.2515124113LSep 15 · 07:15T. Krenek1.9111116113J. Krupnik1.80641151LSep 15 · 06:15J. Krupnik1.5711119792T. Grmela2.25891111113LSep 14 · 12:45J. Krupnik1.67134781T. Kindl2.10111111113LSep 14 · 11:45J. Krupnik1.9110101111102J. Skvrna1.80121296123WSep 14 · 10:45J. Krupnik1.801111113T. Kindl1.917470LSep 14 · 09:45J. Krupnik1.8311511772R. Benes1.83411911113LSep 13 · 17:20J. Krupnik1.53131111882D. Jr2.38154411113LSep 13 · 15:40M. Macurak1.7311119113J. Krupnik2.00741141WSep 13 · 15:10D. Jr2.20681161J. Krupnik1.6111116113
J. Gembala10
LSep 15 · 07:45J. Gembala1.5713101181J. Krupnik2.2515124113LSep 15 · 06:45J. Gembala1.57911851T. Grmela2.2511511113LSep 15 · 05:45J. Gembala1.678111171T. Krenek2.1011913113WSep 13 · 08:40J. Gembala1.6711611113J. Skalicky2.10611881LSep 13 · 07:40J. Gembala1.67913591F. Chaloupka2.10111111113WSep 13 · 06:40J. Gembala1.7311127113J. Skalicky2.009101171LSep 13 · 05:40J. Gembala1.5712710101T. Krenek2.25101112123LSep 11 · 09:10J. Gembala2.0075121172A. Vitasek1.731111106113WSep 11 · 07:40A. Vitasek1.73117671J. Gembala2.0081111113WSep 11 · 07:10T. Krenek2.107111191J. Gembala1.6711137113
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