TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13131773
Played Sep 15Finished
Jan Gembala
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911115811511––
Tomas Grmela
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:26 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeJan Gembala to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Gembala above · Tomas Grmela below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 71 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Jan Gembala at 54.3%
71 points played in total.
H2H Jan Gembala 0–1 Tomas Grmela Jan Gembala has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:26What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Gembala
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Gembala 1665 vs Grmela 1587
Gembala
Wrong
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gembala 40% vs Grmela 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gembala 50% vs Grmela 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gembala -1 · Grmela +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Gembala) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gembala form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGembala 1.57 / Grmela 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Gembala)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13131773
Gembala1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 80 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it98% 49 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it78% 64 of 82
Grmela2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 13 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back29% 5 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeGembala0wins
AwayGrmela1wins
Grmela leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricGembalaGrmelaGembala − GrmelaBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match33.038.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGembalaGrmelaBasisWin rate · lifetime207 / 380 vs 22 / 5054.5%44%207 / 380 vs 22 / 50Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.135.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GembalaGembala 1.57/Grmela 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Gembala · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Grmela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 15 · 06:45J. Gembala33911851T. Grmela3811511113
J. Gembala10
LSep 15 · 05:45J. Gembala1.678111171T. Krenek2.1011913113WSep 13 · 08:40J. Gembala1.6711611113J. Skalicky2.10611881LSep 13 · 07:40J. Gembala1.67913591F. Chaloupka2.10111111113WSep 13 · 06:40J. Gembala1.7311127113J. Skalicky2.009101171LSep 13 · 05:40J. Gembala1.5712710101T. Krenek2.25101112123LSep 11 · 09:10J. Gembala2.0075121172A. Vitasek1.731111106113WSep 11 · 07:40A. Vitasek1.73117671J. Gembala2.0081111113WSep 11 · 07:10T. Krenek2.107111191J. Gembala1.6711137113LSep 11 · 06:10J. Gembala1.6181181152J. Krupnik2.20119116113WSep 8 · 09:10J. Gembala1.63911811113M. Macurak2.0611311482
T. Grmela10
WSep 15 · 06:15J. Krupnik1.5711119792T. Grmela2.25891111113LSep 10 · 12:49T. Grmela2.20117871J. Skvrna1.6131111113LSep 10 · 12:15T. Grmela2.0099111192L. Slavik1.73111165113LSep 10 · 10:45B. Mrowetz1.6711811113T. Grmela2.10611541WSep 10 · 10:15J. Skvrna1.57117591T. Grmela2.2581111113WSep 10 · 08:50R. Benes1.8084100T. Grmela1.911111123LSep 10 · 07:45J. Krupnik1.7361213113T. Grmela2.0011101171LSep 10 · 07:15D. Pawlik1.731111113T. Grmela2.005960LSep 10 · 06:15T. Grmela1.73561781R. Benes2.00111115113WAug 27 · 20:45D. Vitasek2.0012560T. Grmela1.731411113
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