TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13131808
Played Sep 15Finished
Jan Gembala
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
13151012114811––
Jan Krupnik
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:26 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeJan Gembala to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Gembala above · Jan Krupnik below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 84 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jan Gembala at 60.1%
84 points played in total.
H2H Jan Gembala 13–8 Jan Krupnik Jan Krupnik has won 8 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:26What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Gembala
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-8 in 21
Gembala
Wrong
gap of 5 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gembala 1665 vs Krupnik 1562
Gembala
Wrong
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gembala 40% vs Krupnik 20%
Gembala
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gembala 40% vs Krupnik 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gembala -2 · Krupnik -4
Krupnik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Gembala)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krupnik form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGembala 1.57 / Krupnik 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Gembala)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13131808
Gembala1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 80 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it98% 49 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it78% 64 of 82
Krupnik2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 93 of 196
Down 0–1, comes back28% 23 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGembala6wins
AwayKrupnik4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderGembala leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGembala100%5 of 5
AwayKrupnik80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gembala5Krupnik5n = 10split evenly
S2Gembala9Krupnik1n = 10Gembala took 9 of 10
S3Gembala5Krupnik5n = 10split evenly
S4Gembala6Krupnik2n = 8Gembala took 6 of 8
S5Gembala1Krupnik4n = 5Krupnik took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGembalaKrupnikG − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.237.0+5.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGembalaKrupnikBasisWin rate · lifetime207 / 380 vs 453 / 88354.5%51.3%207 / 380 vs 453 / 883Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GembalaGembala 1.57/Krupnik 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Gembala · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krupnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 06:10J. Gembala4381181152J. Krupnik48119116113
LAug 23 · 20:38J. Gembala43811311102J. Krupnik46115117123
LAug 23 · 17:40J. Gembala549111211112J. Krupnik53118147133
WAug 18 · 09:40J. Gembala51911119113J. Krupnik4411951182
WMay 23 · 09:40J. Gembala4111811113J. Krupnik21311611
WMay 18 · 07:40J. Gembala331111113J. Krupnik227960
WMay 16 · 21:25J. Gembala4312119113J. Krupnik391091191
LMay 16 · 19:15J. Gembala3941111492J. Krupnik45116611113
WMay 12 · 18:15J. Gembala4211119113J. Krupnik31691151
WMay 11 · 06:15J. Gembala331111113J. Krupnik218670
J. Gembala10
LSep 15 · 06:45J. Gembala1.57911851T. Grmela2.2511511113LSep 15 · 05:45J. Gembala1.678111171T. Krenek2.1011913113WSep 13 · 08:40J. Gembala1.6711611113J. Skalicky2.10611881LSep 13 · 07:40J. Gembala1.67913591F. Chaloupka2.10111111113WSep 13 · 06:40J. Gembala1.7311127113J. Skalicky2.009101171LSep 13 · 05:40J. Gembala1.5712710101T. Krenek2.25101112123LSep 11 · 09:10J. Gembala2.0075121172A. Vitasek1.731111106113WSep 11 · 07:40A. Vitasek1.73117671J. Gembala2.0081111113WSep 11 · 07:10T. Krenek2.107111191J. Gembala1.6711137113LSep 11 · 06:10J. Gembala1.6181181152J. Krupnik2.20119116113
J. Krupnik10
LSep 15 · 07:15T. Krenek1.9111116113J. Krupnik1.80641151LSep 15 · 06:15J. Krupnik1.5711119792T. Grmela2.25891111113LSep 14 · 12:45J. Krupnik1.67134781T. Kindl2.10111111113LSep 14 · 11:45J. Krupnik1.9110101111102J. Skvrna1.80121296123WSep 14 · 10:45J. Krupnik1.801111113T. Kindl1.917470LSep 14 · 09:45J. Krupnik1.8311511772R. Benes1.83411911113LSep 13 · 17:20J. Krupnik1.53131111882D. Jr2.38154411113LSep 13 · 15:40M. Macurak1.7311119113J. Krupnik2.00741141WSep 13 · 15:10D. Jr2.20681161J. Krupnik1.6111116113WSep 11 · 06:10J. Gembala1.6181181152J. Krupnik2.20119116113
Upcoming Matches
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