TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13131926
Played Sep 15Finished
Tomas Krenek
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116114611115––
Jan Krupnik
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Krupnik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Krenek above · Jan Krupnik below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 65 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Jan Krupnik at 54.0%
65 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Krenek 41–43 Jan Krupnik Tomas Krenek has won 41 of their 84 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:43What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Krupnik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
41-43 in 84
Krupnik
Wrong
gap of 2 in 84, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krenek 1622 vs Krupnik 1577
Krenek
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krenek 80% vs Krupnik 20%
Krenek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krenek 70% vs Krupnik 30%
Krenek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krenek +2 · Krupnik -3
Krupnik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krupnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krupnik form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrenek 1.91 / Krupnik 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krupnik)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13131926
Krenek1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog55% won 97 of 178
Down 0–1, comes back40% 38 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 34
Krupnik1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 136 of 244
Up 2–0, closes it95% 59 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it72% 94 of 130
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrenek5wins
AwayKrupnik5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrenek50%3 of 6
AwayKrupnik50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krenek6Krupnik4n = 10Krenek took 6 of 10
S2Krenek2Krupnik8n = 10Krupnik took 8 of 10
S3Krenek5Krupnik5n = 10split evenly
S4Krenek6Krupnik4n = 10Krenek took 6 of 10
S5Krenek3Krupnik2n = 5Krenek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrenekKrupnikKrenek − KrupnikBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.841.8−1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrenekKrupnikBasisWin rate · lifetime462 / 915 vs 454 / 88450.5%51.4%462 / 915 vs 454 / 884Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupnikKrenek 1.91/Krupnik 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Krupnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Krenek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 07:15T. Krenek3911116113J. Krupnik26641151
WSep 13 · 10:40T. Krenek41711111113J. Krupnik4311116962
LSep 11 · 10:10T. Krenek3411341152J. Krupnik48711118113
LSep 11 · 08:38T. Krenek351111491J. Krupnik4491311113
LSep 11 · 08:10T. Krenek361441171J. Krupnik4516117113
LAug 25 · 09:10T. Krenek4311712131J. Krupnik49131110153
WAug 25 · 07:40T. Krenek49126911113J. Krupnik45101111852
LAug 19 · 10:15T. Krenek4411119852J. Krupnik44561111113
WAug 19 · 09:20T. Krenek463101111113J. Krupnik4411127952
WAug 19 · 07:15T. Krenek4111811113J. Krupnik30411961
T. Krenek10
WSep 15 · 08:15T. Grmela2.25149871T. Krenek1.57121111113WSep 15 · 05:45J. Gembala1.678111171T. Krenek2.1011913113WSep 13 · 13:05T. Krenek2.001111118123J. Skvrna1.71813611102LSep 13 · 12:10T. Krenek1.673960E. Precek2.101111113WSep 13 · 10:40J. Krupnik1.8311116962T. Krenek1.83711111113WSep 13 · 10:10J. Skvrna1.801061171T. Krenek1.9112114113WSep 13 · 09:10T. Krenek2.1011114113F. Chaloupka1.65471161LSep 13 · 08:10J. Skalicky1.8011814113T. Krenek1.915111221WSep 13 · 07:10T. Krenek1.9113118113F. Chaloupka1.801171171WSep 13 · 05:40J. Gembala1.5712710101T. Krenek2.25101112123
J. Krupnik10
WSep 15 · 07:45J. Gembala1.5713101181J. Krupnik2.2515124113LSep 15 · 06:15J. Krupnik1.5711119792T. Grmela2.25891111113LSep 14 · 12:45J. Krupnik1.67134781T. Kindl2.10111111113LSep 14 · 11:45J. Krupnik1.9110101111102J. Skvrna1.80121296123WSep 14 · 10:45J. Krupnik1.801111113T. Kindl1.917470LSep 14 · 09:45J. Krupnik1.8311511772R. Benes1.83411911113LSep 13 · 17:20J. Krupnik1.53131111882D. Jr2.38154411113LSep 13 · 15:40M. Macurak1.7311119113J. Krupnik2.00741141WSep 13 · 15:10D. Jr2.20681161J. Krupnik1.6111116113LSep 13 · 10:40J. Krupnik1.8311116962T. Krenek1.83711111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.