TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13123078
Played Sep 13Finished
Tomas Krenek
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311911611––––
Erik Precek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Krenek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Krenek above · Erik Precek below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 51 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Tomas Krenek at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Krenek 7–11 Erik Precek Tomas Krenek has won 7 of their 18 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 02:23What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Krenek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-11 in 18
Precek
Correct
gap of 4 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krenek 1585 vs Precek 1553
Krenek
Wrong
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krenek 80% vs Precek 40%
Krenek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krenek 50% vs Precek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krenek +3 · Precek -2
Krenek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Krenek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krenek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrenek 1.67 / Precek 2.10
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Krenek)-0.4pp
TT Cup · #13123078
Krenek1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 112 of 203
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it74% 77 of 104
Precek2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 57 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrenek6wins
AwayPrecek4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKrenek leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrenek75%3 of 4
AwayPrecek50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krenek4Precek6n = 10Precek took 6 of 10
S2Krenek7Precek3n = 10Krenek took 7 of 10
S3Krenek3Precek7n = 10Precek took 7 of 10
S4Krenek4Precek4n = 8split evenly
S5Krenek4Precek2n = 6Krenek took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrenekPrecekK − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.141.4+1.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrenekPrecekBasisWin rate · lifetime458 / 910 vs 216 / 46050.3%47%458 / 910 vs 216 / 460Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrecekKrenek 1.67/Precek 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.4%
Krenek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Precek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 11:15T. Krenek49111181092E. Precek46571112113
LJul 16 · 12:10T. Krenek4291161152E. Precek39113113113
WJun 23 · 12:10T. Krenek3711411113E. Precek29911721
WJun 22 · 09:45T. Krenek451011112113E. Precek4312851172
LJun 18 · 08:45T. Krenek249690E. Precek331111113
WJun 18 · 06:40T. Krenek541211119113E. Precek50108131182
LJun 17 · 11:40T. Krenek37911170E. Precek431113193
WJun 13 · 14:40T. Krenek521112117113E. Precek50810131182
WJun 10 · 10:10T. Krenek4181111113E. Precek31118661
WJun 3 · 09:15T. Krenek50811611143E. Precek50119117122
T. Krenek10
WSep 13 · 10:40J. Krupnik1.8311116962T. Krenek1.83711111113WSep 13 · 10:10J. Skvrna1.801061171T. Krenek1.9112114113WSep 13 · 09:10T. Krenek2.1011114113F. Chaloupka1.65471161LSep 13 · 08:10J. Skalicky1.8011814113T. Krenek1.915111221WSep 13 · 07:10T. Krenek1.9113118113F. Chaloupka1.801171171WSep 13 · 05:40J. Gembala1.5712710101T. Krenek2.25101112123LSep 11 · 12:33M. Macurak1.831111116113T. Krenek1.8361381192LSep 11 · 12:10T. Krenek1.737650D. Pawlik2.001111113LSep 11 · 10:40M. Macurak1.8311411113T. Krenek1.83711891LSep 11 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.91711118113T. Krenek1.8011341152
E. Precek10
WSep 13 · 12:35J. Krupnik2.059911101E. Precek1.6811115123LSep 13 · 11:10E. Precek2.25841181J. Skvrna1.5711117113LSep 13 · 09:40J. Krupnik1.5714117113E. Precek2.251261171WSep 12 · 17:20I. Heuman1.91119381E. Precek1.8071111113LSep 12 · 16:10I. Heuman2.101111119113E. Precek1.6759131182WSep 12 · 15:10E. Precek1.831412113D. Vitasek1.83121090WSep 12 · 13:40D. Skulina1.618137101E. Precek2.20111111123WSep 6 · 12:40J. Skvrna1.5711914472E. Precek2.258111211113LSep 6 · 12:15L. Slavik1.801111113E. Precek1.916990WSep 6 · 11:15E. Precek2.10571112113T. Krenek1.67111181092
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