TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13143527
Played Sep 17Finished
Lukas Slavik
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911113119811114
Tomas Kindl
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Kindl to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Slavik above · Tomas Kindl below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 88 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Tomas Kindl at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Slavik 2–7 Tomas Kindl Lukas Slavik has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:16What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kindl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-7 in 9
Kindl
Wrong
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slavik 1628 vs Kindl 1520
Slavik
Correct
both rated, 108 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slavik 60% vs Kindl 0%
Slavik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slavik 40% vs Kindl 20%
Slavik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slavik +1 · Kindl -5
Kindl
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kindl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kindl form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlavik 1.83 / Kindl 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kindl)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13143527
Slavik1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kindl1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSlavik2wins
AwayKindl7wins
9 of 9 to a deciderKindl leads 7–2, and 9 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlavik66.7%2 of 3
AwayKindl100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slavik3Kindl6n = 9Kindl took 6 of 9
S2Slavik3Kindl6n = 9Kindl took 6 of 9
S3Slavik6Kindl3n = 9Slavik took 6 of 9
S4Slavik6Kindl3n = 9Slavik took 6 of 9
S5Slavik2Kindl7n = 9Kindl took 7 of 9
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away778%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricSlavikKindlS − KBasisWins27−5in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match50.152.1−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlavikKindlBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 223 vs 214 / 42452%50.5%116 / 223 vs 214 / 424Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.741.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KindlSlavik 1.83/Kindl 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kindl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Slavik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 16 · 06:10L. Slavik50911119102T. Kindl51118911123
WAug 17 · 10:40L. Slavik47128511113T. Kindl47101111962
WJul 9 · 07:15L. Slavik521181111113T. Kindl4591113572
LJul 4 · 21:15L. Slavik531011129112T. Kindl551291011133
LJul 4 · 19:15L. Slavik51516111092T. Kindl571114912113
LJun 3 · 07:15L. Slavik54791114132T. Kindl531111412153
LFeb 24 · 13:50L. Slavik5523481192T. Kindl622111118113
LFeb 24 · 13:10L. Slavik49119111352T. Kindl541311811113
LJan 9 · 08:10L. Slavik4067111152T. Kindl45111193113
L. Slavik10
WSep 17 · 06:45L. Slavik1.8371211133D. Jr1.8311107111LSep 17 · 05:45L. Slavik1.83116761R. Benes1.8381111113LSep 16 · 09:04L. Slavik1.6751080M. Macurak2.101112113WSep 16 · 07:40M. Macurak1.83114111192L. Slavik1.83131117113WSep 16 · 07:10D. Vitasek2.007760L. Slavik1.731111113LSep 16 · 06:10L. Slavik1.83911119102T. Kindl1.83118911123LSep 15 · 12:40T. Grmela1.801111118113L. Slavik1.9113691162WSep 15 · 12:15T. Krenek1.8310780L. Slavik1.831211113LSep 15 · 11:15L. Slavik1.7314780T. Grmela2.001611113LSep 15 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.671111133L. Slavik2.1045110
T. Kindl10
LSep 17 · 08:45D. Jr1.83513711113T. Kindl1.83111111472LSep 17 · 07:15R. Benes1.80841111113T. Kindl1.9111116762LSep 17 · 06:15T. Kindl1.735161481D. Jr2.00111812113LSep 16 · 12:40L. Dzida1.83581111123T. Kindl1.83111189102LSep 16 · 11:40D. Pawlik1.731281111113T. Kindl2.0014117992LSep 16 · 11:10L. Dzida1.9111611113T. Kindl1.80711831LSep 16 · 10:10T. Kindl1.57791191M. Moravec2.2511117113WSep 16 · 08:33D. Vitasek2.001110170T. Kindl1.731312193LSep 16 · 08:10T. Kindl1.834790D. Vitasek1.831111113WSep 16 · 06:10L. Slavik1.83911119102T. Kindl1.83118911123
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