TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13139511
Played Sep 16Finished
Lukas Slavik
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111012811––––
Michal Macurak
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingLukas Slavik above · Michal Macurak below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 57 set 3, 8-11
57 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Slavik 4–4 Michal Macurak Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Slavik beat Macurak 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Slavik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Macurak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlavik 1.67 / Macurak 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Slavik)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13139511
Slavik1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 35 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it77% 27 of 35
Macurak2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 58 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back29% 20 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSlavik4wins
AwayMacurak4wins
2 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlavik57.1%4 of 7
AwayMacurakn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slavik7Macurak1n = 8Slavik took 7 of 8
S2Slavik2Macurak6n = 8Macurak took 6 of 8
S3Slavik2Macurak6n = 8Macurak took 6 of 8
S4Slavik2Macurak4n = 6Macurak took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricSlavikMacurakS − MBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set71+6of 8Avg pointsper match35.238.8−3.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlavikMacurakBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 220 vs 251 / 49152.3%51.1%115 / 220 vs 251 / 491Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlavikSlavik 1.67/Macurak 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Slavik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Macurak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 16 · 07:40L. Slavik43131117113M. Macurak46114111192
WAug 20 · 07:45L. Slavik331111113M. Macurak249870
LJul 6 · 20:45L. Slavik35117891M. Macurak4291111113
WJul 6 · 18:15L. Slavik48116711133M. Macurak41311115112
WJul 6 · 13:45L. Slavik4013511113M. Macurak391111981
LMay 21 · 07:15L. Slavik31119471M. Macurak4071111113
LJan 9 · 09:50L. Slavik2681260M. Macurak361114113
LJan 9 · 08:40L. Slavik26116451M. Macurak4291111113
L. Slavik10
WSep 16 · 07:40M. Macurak1.83114111192L. Slavik1.83131117113WSep 16 · 07:10D. Vitasek2.007760L. Slavik1.731111113LSep 16 · 06:10L. Slavik1.83911119102T. Kindl1.83118911123LSep 15 · 12:40T. Grmela1.801111118113L. Slavik1.9113691162WSep 15 · 12:15T. Krenek1.8310780L. Slavik1.831211113LSep 15 · 11:15L. Slavik1.7314780T. Grmela2.001611113LSep 15 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.671111133L. Slavik2.1045110WSep 10 · 13:20B. Mrowetz1.73117891L. Slavik2.0091111113WSep 10 · 12:15T. Grmela2.0099111192L. Slavik1.73111165113WSep 10 · 11:15L. Slavik3.50641111113J. Skvrna1.2811118272
M. Macurak10
LSep 16 · 07:40M. Macurak1.83114111192L. Slavik1.83131117113WSep 16 · 06:40M. Macurak1.831011118113T. Kindl1.8312651112WSep 16 · 05:40M. Macurak2.001111113D. Vitasek1.736860WSep 15 · 16:45M. Macurak1.671111113B. Mrowetz2.107690LSep 15 · 15:45B. Moravec1.5071311113M. Macurak2.501111551LSep 15 · 15:15D. Skulina1.831611113M. Macurak1.8314490WSep 15 · 14:15M. Macurak1.7311118113B. Mrowetz2.00691191WSep 15 · 12:53M. Macurak1.7391111113D. Jr2.00119971LSep 15 · 11:40M. Macurak1.5771111992J. Krupnik2.25115411113WSep 15 · 10:40M. Macurak1.73121111123D. Jr2.001458101
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