TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13109828
Played Sep 10Finished
Bruno Mrowetz
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119711811911––
Lukas Slavik
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:04 and never touched — 54.8% is still 54.8%
Graded at full timeBruno Mrowetz to win
54.8%
54.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingBruno Mrowetz above · Lukas Slavik below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 77 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Bruno Mrowetz at 54.8%
77 points played in total.
H2H Bruno Mrowetz 4–2 Lukas Slavik Lukas Slavik has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Mrowetz beat Slavik 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:04What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Mrowetz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Mrowetz
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrowetz 1703 vs Slavik 1640
Mrowetz
Wrong
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrowetz 60% vs Slavik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrowetz 60% vs Slavik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrowetz -1 · Slavik +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Mrowetz)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrowetz 1.73 / Slavik 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Mrowetz)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13109828
Mrowetz1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite57% won 80 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it78% 60 of 77
Slavik2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 42 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back35% 15 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMrowetz4wins
AwaySlavik2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderMrowetz leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrowetz60%3 of 5
AwaySlavikn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrowetz5Slavik1n = 6Mrowetz took 5 of 6
S2Mrowetz3Slavik3n = 6split evenly
S3Mrowetz3Slavik3n = 6split evenly
S4Mrowetz1Slavik4n = 5Slavik took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricMrowetzSlavikM − SBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match39.535.8+3.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrowetzSlavikBasisWin rate · lifetime244 / 483 vs 111 / 21250.5%52.4%244 / 483 vs 111 / 212Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MrowetzMrowetz 1.73/Slavik 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Mrowetz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Slavik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 10 · 09:45B. Mrowetz—116115113L. Slavik—71191162
LSep 1 · 10:15B. Mrowetz—126861L. Slavik—101111113
WMay 29 · 06:10B. Mrowetz—91111113L. Slavik—116751
WMay 21 · 08:15B. Mrowetz—1111133L. Slavik—77110
WApr 20 · 09:15B. Mrowetz—11111010113L. Slavik—43121232
LApr 20 · 08:15B. Mrowetz—119471L. Slavik—71111113
B. Mrowetz10
LSep 10 · 11:45B. Mrowetz2.0011118682J. Skvrna1.73731111113WSep 10 · 10:45B. Mrowetz1.6711811113T. Grmela2.10611541WSep 10 · 09:45B. Mrowetz1.73116115113L. Slavik2.0071191162WSep 7 · 13:10T. Kindl1.968890B. Mrowetz1.701111113LSep 7 · 11:40T. Kindl2.2091112183B. Mrowetz1.6111610161WSep 7 · 11:10D. Jr1.7310830B. Mrowetz2.001211113WSep 7 · 10:10B. Mrowetz1.671111133R. Benes2.1077110LSep 7 · 09:10L. Lasota2.251113113B. Mrowetz1.5581190LSep 7 · 07:40B. Mrowetz1.5011811772D. Pawlik2.50911711113WSep 7 · 06:40B. Mrowetz1.61661111113L. Lasota2.2011114562
L. Slavik10
WSep 10 · 12:15T. Grmela2.0099111192L. Slavik1.73111165113WSep 10 · 11:15L. Slavik3.50641111113J. Skvrna1.2811118272LSep 10 · 09:45B. Mrowetz1.73116115113L. Slavik2.0071191162LSep 6 · 13:10T. Krenek1.8613111113L. Slavik1.781111581WSep 6 · 12:15L. Slavik1.801111113E. Precek1.916990WSep 6 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.5731191182L. Slavik2.25114119113LSep 6 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73111118163L. Slavik2.00481111142WSep 6 · 08:50L. Slavik1.611613113D. Pawlik2.20141110WSep 6 · 07:45T. Krenek1.7311510111L. Slavik2.0071112133LSep 6 · 07:15D. Jr2.101111113L. Slavik1.678390
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