TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13131810
Played Sep 15Finished
Tomas Krenek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012711811––––
Lukas Slavik
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:24 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeLukas Slavik to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Krenek above · Lukas Slavik below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 59 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Lukas Slavik at 54.3%
59 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Krenek 6–5 Lukas Slavik Lukas Slavik has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:24What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Slavik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krenek 1642 vs Slavik 1612
Krenek
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krenek 80% vs Slavik 60%
Krenek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krenek 80% vs Slavik 50%
Krenek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krenek +2 · Slavik -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Slavik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krenek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrenek 1.83 / Slavik 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Slavik)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13131810
Krenek1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Slavik1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrenek5wins
AwaySlavik5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrenek57.1%4 of 7
AwaySlavik66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krenek7Slavik3n = 10Krenek took 7 of 10
S2Krenek4Slavik6n = 10Slavik took 6 of 10
S3Krenek3Slavik7n = 10Slavik took 7 of 10
S4Krenek3Slavik6n = 9Slavik took 6 of 9
S5Krenek3Slavik1n = 4Krenek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrenekSlavikK − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.542.1−1.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrenekSlavikBasisWin rate · lifetime464 / 918 vs 112 / 21550.5%52.1%464 / 918 vs 112 / 215Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlavikKrenek 1.83/Slavik 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Slavik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Slavik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 13:10T. Krenek3613111113L. Slavik351111581
WSep 6 · 10:15T. Krenek47111118163L. Slavik48481111142
LSep 6 · 07:45T. Krenek3711510111L. Slavik4371112133
WJul 16 · 07:10T. Krenek46121157113L. Slavik44106111162
WJul 13 · 08:50T. Krenek51981111123L. Slavik45111185102
LJul 13 · 07:15T. Krenek4011910101L. Slavik4161112123
WJul 11 · 10:15T. Krenek4111136113L. Slavik377111181
LJun 16 · 06:40T. Krenek49811117122L. Slavik51118711143
LMar 10 · 18:05T. Krenek401191191L. Slavik4491113113
LMar 10 · 17:10T. Krenek186660L. Slavik331111113
T. Krenek10
WSep 15 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.737411111T. Krenek2.0011114133WSep 15 · 10:15T. Grmela2.25811111252T. Krenek1.57117814113LSep 15 · 09:13T. Krenek1.733119121T. Grmela2.0011711143WSep 15 · 08:15T. Grmela2.25149871T. Krenek1.57121111113WSep 15 · 07:15T. Krenek1.9111116113J. Krupnik1.80641151WSep 15 · 05:45J. Gembala1.678111171T. Krenek2.1011913113WSep 13 · 13:05T. Krenek2.001111118123J. Skvrna1.71813611102LSep 13 · 12:10T. Krenek1.673960E. Precek2.101111113WSep 13 · 10:40J. Krupnik1.8311116962T. Krenek1.83711111113WSep 13 · 10:10J. Skvrna1.801061171T. Krenek1.9112114113
L. Slavik10
LSep 15 · 12:40T. Grmela1.801111118113L. Slavik1.9113691162LSep 15 · 11:15L. Slavik1.7314780T. Grmela2.001611113LSep 15 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.671111133L. Slavik2.1045110WSep 10 · 13:20B. Mrowetz1.73117891L. Slavik2.0091111113WSep 10 · 12:15T. Grmela2.0099111192L. Slavik1.73111165113WSep 10 · 11:15L. Slavik3.50641111113J. Skvrna1.2811118272LSep 10 · 09:45B. Mrowetz1.73116115113L. Slavik2.0071191162LSep 6 · 13:10T. Krenek1.8613111113L. Slavik1.781111581WSep 6 · 12:15L. Slavik1.801111113E. Precek1.916990WSep 6 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.5731191182L. Slavik2.25114119113
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