TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13131799
Played Sep 15Finished
Lukas Slavik
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1416711811––––
Tomas Grmela
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:24 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeLukas Slavik to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Slavik above · Tomas Grmela below
Set 1 · 14-16
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 67 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Lukas Slavik at 56.5%
67 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Slavik 1–0 Tomas Grmela Tomas Grmela has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:24What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Slavik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Slavik 1640 vs Grmela 1568
Slavik
Wrong
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slavik 60% vs Grmela 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slavik 60% vs Grmela 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Slavik -1 · Grmela -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Slavik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlavik 1.73 / Grmela 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Slavik)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13131799
Slavik1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 35 of 62
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it77% 27 of 35
Grmela2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 13 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back29% 5 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSlavik1wins
AwayGrmela0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSlavik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSlavikGrmelaS − GBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match44.049.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlavikGrmelaBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 214 vs 23 / 5352.3%43.4%112 / 214 vs 23 / 53Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlavikSlavik 1.73/Grmela 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.5%
Slavik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Grmela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 10 · 12:15L. Slavik44111165113T. Grmela4999111192
L. Slavik10
WSep 15 · 12:15T. Krenek1.8310780L. Slavik1.831211113LSep 15 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.671111133L. Slavik2.1045110WSep 10 · 13:20B. Mrowetz1.73117891L. Slavik2.0091111113WSep 10 · 12:15T. Grmela2.0099111192L. Slavik1.73111165113WSep 10 · 11:15L. Slavik3.50641111113J. Skvrna1.2811118272LSep 10 · 09:45B. Mrowetz1.73116115113L. Slavik2.0071191162LSep 6 · 13:10T. Krenek1.8613111113L. Slavik1.781111581WSep 6 · 12:15L. Slavik1.801111113E. Precek1.916990WSep 6 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.5731191182L. Slavik2.25114119113LSep 6 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73111118163L. Slavik2.00481111142
T. Grmela10
LSep 15 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.6712311113T. Grmela2.101011591LSep 15 · 10:15T. Grmela2.25811111252T. Krenek1.57117814113WSep 15 · 09:13T. Krenek1.733119121T. Grmela2.0011711143LSep 15 · 08:15T. Grmela2.25149871T. Krenek1.57121111113WSep 15 · 06:45J. Gembala1.57911851T. Grmela2.2511511113WSep 15 · 06:15J. Krupnik1.5711119792T. Grmela2.25891111113LSep 10 · 12:49T. Grmela2.20117871J. Skvrna1.6131111113LSep 10 · 12:15T. Grmela2.0099111192L. Slavik1.73111165113LSep 10 · 10:45B. Mrowetz1.6711811113T. Grmela2.10611541WSep 10 · 10:15J. Skvrna1.57117591T. Grmela2.2581111113
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