TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13134390
Played Sep 15Finished
Michal Macurak
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116119811119––
Bruno Mrowetz
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBruno Mrowetz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Macurak above · Bruno Mrowetz below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 76 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Bruno Mrowetz at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Michal Macurak 9–13 Bruno Mrowetz Michal Macurak has won 9 of their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:49What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Macurak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-13 in 22
Mrowetz
Wrong
gap of 4 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Macurak 1666 vs Mrowetz 1689
Mrowetz
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Macurak 60% vs Mrowetz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Macurak 70% vs Mrowetz 50%
Macurak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Macurak +1 · Mrowetz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Macurak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMacurak 1.73 / Mrowetz 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Macurak)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13134390
Macurak1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 63 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it100% 32 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it77% 41 of 53
Mrowetz2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog40% won 60 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back20% 14 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMacurak5wins
AwayMrowetz5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMacurak57.1%4 of 7
AwayMrowetz66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Macurak7Mrowetz3n = 10Macurak took 7 of 10
S2Macurak7Mrowetz3n = 10Macurak took 7 of 10
S3Macurak6Mrowetz4n = 10Macurak took 6 of 10
S4Macurak2Mrowetz3n = 5Mrowetz took 3 of 5
S5Macurak0Mrowetz3n = 3Mrowetz took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMacurakMrowetzMacurak − MrowetzBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.135.9+1.2per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMacurakMrowetzBasisWin rate · lifetime247 / 484 vs 244 / 48451%50.4%247 / 484 vs 244 / 484Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MacurakMacurak 1.73/Mrowetz 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Macurak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Macurak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 09:16M. Macurak461311110112B. Mrowetz551181112133
LSep 5 · 07:45M. Macurak3711541162B. Mrowetz50911118113
WAug 24 · 12:43M. Macurak331111113B. Mrowetz269890
LAug 24 · 12:10M. Macurak501181110102B. Mrowetz47311912123
LAug 22 · 15:40M. Macurak4112118101B. Mrowetz4414711123
WAug 3 · 17:10M. Macurak4281112113B. Mrowetz381191081
WAug 3 · 14:45M. Macurak331111113B. Mrowetz205780
LJul 7 · 16:15M. Macurak2211830B. Mrowetz351311113
WJun 28 · 16:45M. Macurak331111113B. Mrowetz173950
WJun 28 · 14:40M. Macurak341112113B. Mrowetz2781090
M. Macurak10
LSep 15 · 15:45B. Moravec1.5071311113M. Macurak2.501111551LSep 15 · 15:15D. Skulina1.831611113M. Macurak1.8314490WSep 15 · 12:53M. Macurak1.7391111113D. Jr2.00119971LSep 15 · 11:40M. Macurak1.5771111992J. Krupnik2.25115411113WSep 15 · 10:40M. Macurak1.73121111123D. Jr2.001458101LSep 15 · 09:40M. Macurak1.40811101122L. Kantor2.75116127113WSep 13 · 21:14M. Macurak1.8311136113D. Jr1.835111181LSep 13 · 19:40M. Macurak1.67101191182D. Jr2.10124116113WSep 13 · 18:40M. Macurak1.7311911113M. Moravec2.00211791WSep 13 · 17:40M. Macurak1.611111113R. Sedlacek2.203340
B. Mrowetz10
LSep 15 · 14:45B. Moravec1.501111113B. Mrowetz2.504960LSep 10 · 13:20B. Mrowetz1.73117891L. Slavik2.0091111113LSep 10 · 11:45B. Mrowetz2.0011118682J. Skvrna1.73731111113WSep 10 · 10:45B. Mrowetz1.6711811113T. Grmela2.10611541WSep 10 · 09:45B. Mrowetz1.73116115113L. Slavik2.0071191162WSep 7 · 13:10T. Kindl1.968890B. Mrowetz1.701111113LSep 7 · 11:40T. Kindl2.2091112183B. Mrowetz1.6111610161WSep 7 · 11:10D. Jr1.7310830B. Mrowetz2.001211113WSep 7 · 10:10B. Mrowetz1.671111133R. Benes2.1077110LSep 7 · 09:10L. Lasota2.251113113B. Mrowetz1.5581190
Upcoming Matches
M. Macurak
Nothing scheduled
B. Mrowetz
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.