TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13134364
Played Sep 15Finished
Borek Moravec
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111311115115––
Michal Macurak
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:37 and never touched — 60.3% is still 60.3%
Graded at full timeBorek Moravec to win
60.3%
60.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBorek Moravec above · Michal Macurak below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 74 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Borek Moravec at 60.3%
74 points played in total.
H2H Borek Moravec 1–1 Michal Macurak Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:37What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Moravec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1728 vs Macurak 1661
Moravec
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 60% vs Macurak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 60% vs Macurak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec +2 · Macurak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Moravec) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Macurak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.50 / Macurak 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Moravec)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13134364
Moravec1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 103 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it100% 47 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it87% 75 of 86
Macurak2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 58 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back29% 20 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMoravec1wins
AwayMacurak1wins
2 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMoravecMacurakMoravec − MacurakBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match48.549.5−1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecMacurakBasisWin rate · lifetime260 / 455 vs 248 / 48657.1%51%260 / 455 vs 248 / 486Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 1.50/Macurak 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Moravec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WMar 14 · 07:45B. Moravec48117613113M. Macurak45811111142
LJan 14 · 16:10B. Moravec49117714102M. Macurak548111112123
B. Moravec10
WSep 15 · 14:45B. Moravec1.501111113B. Mrowetz2.504960WSep 15 · 13:45B. Moravec1.571111113D. Skulina2.257680LSep 12 · 09:09A. Vitasek1.441111153B. Moravec2.6375130LSep 12 · 07:40B. Moravec2.259920A. Vitasek1.571111113WSep 12 · 06:40B. Moravec1.6141111113J. Skalicky2.20117541WSep 12 · 05:40B. Moravec1.501111113F. Chaloupka2.505380LSep 11 · 17:15F. Chaloupka2.4011118143B. Moravec1.509911121WSep 11 · 15:45B. Moravec1.8011118113J. Pribyl1.91861161WSep 11 · 14:45B. Moravec1.6711211113R. Benes2.10911771LSep 11 · 13:45B. Moravec1.44911681F. Chaloupka2.6311711113
M. Macurak10
LSep 15 · 15:15D. Skulina1.831611113M. Macurak1.8314490WSep 15 · 14:15M. Macurak1.7311118113B. Mrowetz2.00691191WSep 15 · 12:53M. Macurak1.7391111113D. Jr2.00119971LSep 15 · 11:40M. Macurak1.5771111992J. Krupnik2.25115411113WSep 15 · 10:40M. Macurak1.73121111123D. Jr2.001458101LSep 15 · 09:40M. Macurak1.40811101122L. Kantor2.75116127113WSep 13 · 21:14M. Macurak1.8311136113D. Jr1.835111181LSep 13 · 19:40M. Macurak1.67101191182D. Jr2.10124116113WSep 13 · 18:40M. Macurak1.7311911113M. Moravec2.00211791WSep 13 · 17:40M. Macurak1.611111113R. Sedlacek2.203340
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