TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13133917
Played Sep 15Finished
Borek Moravec
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117116118––––
David Skulina
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBorek Moravec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBorek Moravec above · David Skulina below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 54 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Borek Moravec at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Borek Moravec 3–1 David Skulina David Skulina has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:55What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Moravec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Moravec
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1704 vs Skulina 1614
Moravec
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 40% vs Skulina 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 40% vs Skulina 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec -2 · Skulina -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Moravec) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moravec form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.57 / Skulina 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Moravec)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13133917
Moravec1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 103 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it100% 47 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it87% 75 of 86
Skulina2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 16 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back24% 4 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMoravec3wins
AwaySkulina1wins
Moravec leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravec100%3 of 3
AwaySkulinan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec3Skulina1n = 4Moravec took 3 of 4
S2Moravec2Skulina2n = 4split evenly
S3Moravec3Skulina1n = 4Moravec took 3 of 4
S4Moravec2Skulina1n = 3Moravec took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricMoravecSkulinaM − SBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match38.831.0+7.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecSkulinaBasisWin rate · lifetime258 / 453 vs 82 / 16157%50.9%258 / 453 vs 82 / 161Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 1.57/Skulina 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Moravec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 21 · 14:40B. Moravec401191191D. Skulina4113116113
WApr 29 · 15:40B. Moravec341111123D. Skulina1844100
WJan 27 · 15:10B. Moravec4011117113D. Skulina32581181
WJan 6 · 17:15B. Moravec4111811113D. Skulina33711961
B. Moravec10
WSep 15 · 14:45B. Moravec1.501111113B. Mrowetz2.504960LSep 12 · 09:09A. Vitasek1.441111153B. Moravec2.6375130LSep 12 · 07:40B. Moravec2.259920A. Vitasek1.571111113WSep 12 · 06:40B. Moravec1.6141111113J. Skalicky2.20117541WSep 12 · 05:40B. Moravec1.501111113F. Chaloupka2.505380LSep 11 · 17:15F. Chaloupka2.4011118143B. Moravec1.509911121WSep 11 · 15:45B. Moravec1.8011118113J. Pribyl1.91861161WSep 11 · 14:45B. Moravec1.6711211113R. Benes2.10911771LSep 11 · 13:45B. Moravec1.44911681F. Chaloupka2.6311711113LSep 10 · 16:50B. Moravec1.4411741192F. Chaloupka2.63611114113
D. Skulina10
WSep 15 · 15:15D. Skulina1.831611113M. Macurak1.8314490LSep 12 · 16:50D. Vitasek—1111133D. Skulina—98110LSep 12 · 15:40D. Skulina1.501111781D. Vitasek2.5061311113WSep 12 · 14:40D. Skulina1.6712141111113I. Heuman2.1014169932LSep 12 · 13:40D. Skulina1.618137101E. Precek2.20111111123WSep 11 · 21:19F. Chaloupka1.678980D. Skulina2.101111113LSep 11 · 19:45D. Skulina2.3811771412F. Chaloupka1.537111112113WSep 11 · 18:45D. Skulina1.57111211113K. Kleprlik2.25814641WSep 11 · 17:45D. Skulina1.7311118113I. Heuman2.00591191LSep 8 · 21:15D. Skulina1.7357110J. Krupnik2.001111133
Upcoming Matches
B. Moravec
Nothing scheduled
D. Skulina
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