TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13119358
Played Sep 12Finished
Adam Vitasek
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171151513––––
Borek Moravec
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingAdam Vitasek above · Borek Moravec below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 15-13
Point 62 set 3, 15-13
62 points played in total.
H2H Adam Vitasek 1–0 Borek Moravec Borek Moravec has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Vitasek beat Moravec 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Vitasek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moravec form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVitasek 1.44 / Moravec 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Vitasek)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #13119358
Vitasek1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite46% won 12 of 26
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it60% 9 of 15
Moravec2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 45 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back37% 19 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVitasek1wins
AwayMoravec0wins
Vitasek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVitasekMoravecV − MBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.020.0+13.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVitasekMoravecBasisWin rate · lifetime39 / 80 vs 258 / 45248.8%57.1%39 / 80 vs 258 / 452Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.639.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VitasekVitasek 1.44/Moravec 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Vitasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vitasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 12 · 07:40A. Vitasek—1111113B. Moravec—9920
A. Vitasek10
WSep 12 · 07:40B. Moravec2.259920A. Vitasek1.571111113WSep 12 · 07:10F. Chaloupka2.3861191162A. Vitasek1.53117117113WSep 12 · 06:10A. Vitasek1.731111113J. Skalicky2.006480WSep 11 · 09:10J. Gembala2.0075121172A. Vitasek1.731111106113LSep 11 · 07:40A. Vitasek1.73117671J. Gembala2.0081111113WSep 11 · 06:40A. Vitasek1.73121311153J. Krupnik2.0014115131WSep 11 · 05:40A. Vitasek1.5311117113T. Krenek2.38961181WAug 26 · 20:45R. Kowal1.531111641A. Vitasek2.3813811113LAug 26 · 20:15R. Kowal1.8391111113A. Vitasek1.83116861LAug 26 · 19:15A. Vitasek1.8011712101A. Baros1.9181114123
B. Moravec10
LSep 12 · 07:40B. Moravec2.259920A. Vitasek1.571111113WSep 12 · 06:40B. Moravec1.6141111113J. Skalicky2.20117541WSep 12 · 05:40B. Moravec1.501111113F. Chaloupka2.505380LSep 11 · 17:15F. Chaloupka2.4011118143B. Moravec1.509911121WSep 11 · 15:45B. Moravec1.8011118113J. Pribyl1.91861161WSep 11 · 14:45B. Moravec1.6711211113R. Benes2.10911771LSep 11 · 13:45B. Moravec1.44911681F. Chaloupka2.6311711113LSep 10 · 16:50B. Moravec1.4411741192F. Chaloupka2.63611114113LSep 10 · 15:45B. Moravec1.441061171J. Skvrna2.6312118113LSep 10 · 14:45B. Moravec2.00119911112J. Pribyl1.73611114133
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