TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13134514
Played Sep 15Finished
Borek Moravec
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114119116––––
Bruno Mrowetz
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:10 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeBorek Moravec to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBorek Moravec above · Bruno Mrowetz below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 52 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Borek Moravec at 63.7%
52 points played in total.
H2H Borek Moravec 6–1 Bruno Mrowetz Bruno Mrowetz has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:10What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Moravec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Moravec
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1715 vs Mrowetz 1677
Moravec
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 60% vs Mrowetz 40%
Moravec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 50% vs Mrowetz 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec +1 · Mrowetz -3
Mrowetz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Moravec)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.50 / Mrowetz 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Moravec)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13134514
Moravec1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 103 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it100% 47 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it87% 75 of 86
Mrowetz2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog40% won 60 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back20% 14 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMoravec6wins
AwayMrowetz1wins
4 of 7 to a deciderMoravec leads 6–1, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravec100%3 of 3
AwayMrowetz25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec3Mrowetz4n = 7Mrowetz took 4 of 7
S2Moravec5Mrowetz2n = 7Moravec took 5 of 7
S3Moravec6Mrowetz1n = 7Moravec took 6 of 7
S4Moravec3Mrowetz3n = 6split evenly
S5Moravec3Mrowetz1n = 4Moravec took 3 of 4
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricMoravecMrowetzMoravec − MrowetzBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match43.736.3+7.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecMrowetzBasisWin rate · lifetime259 / 454 vs 244 / 48557.1%50.3%259 / 454 vs 244 / 485Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 1.50/Mrowetz 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Moravec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJul 10 · 14:45B. Moravec48511117143B. Mrowetz44112811122
WJul 6 · 13:40B. Moravec3951111123B. Mrowetz311173101
WJun 16 · 14:10B. Moravec331111113B. Mrowetz166550
WMay 12 · 14:40B. Moravec3911115123B. Mrowetz311911101
WApr 26 · 09:15B. Moravec491110116113B. Mrowetz4461261192
LApr 26 · 06:45B. Moravec4771111992B. Mrowetz46117611113
WMar 14 · 08:45B. Moravec51981112113B. Mrowetz42111171032
B. Moravec10
WSep 15 · 15:45B. Moravec1.5071311113M. Macurak2.501111551WSep 15 · 13:45B. Moravec1.571111113D. Skulina2.257680LSep 12 · 09:09A. Vitasek1.441111153B. Moravec2.6375130LSep 12 · 07:40B. Moravec2.259920A. Vitasek1.571111113WSep 12 · 06:40B. Moravec1.6141111113J. Skalicky2.20117541WSep 12 · 05:40B. Moravec1.501111113F. Chaloupka2.505380LSep 11 · 17:15F. Chaloupka2.4011118143B. Moravec1.509911121WSep 11 · 15:45B. Moravec1.8011118113J. Pribyl1.91861161WSep 11 · 14:45B. Moravec1.6711211113R. Benes2.10911771LSep 11 · 13:45B. Moravec1.44911681F. Chaloupka2.6311711113
B. Mrowetz10
LSep 15 · 14:15M. Macurak1.7311118113B. Mrowetz2.00691191LSep 10 · 13:20B. Mrowetz1.73117891L. Slavik2.0091111113LSep 10 · 11:45B. Mrowetz2.0011118682J. Skvrna1.73731111113WSep 10 · 10:45B. Mrowetz1.6711811113T. Grmela2.10611541WSep 10 · 09:45B. Mrowetz1.73116115113L. Slavik2.0071191162WSep 7 · 13:10T. Kindl1.968890B. Mrowetz1.701111113LSep 7 · 11:40T. Kindl2.2091112183B. Mrowetz1.6111610161WSep 7 · 11:10D. Jr1.7310830B. Mrowetz2.001211113WSep 7 · 10:10B. Mrowetz1.671111133R. Benes2.1077110LSep 7 · 09:10L. Lasota2.251113113B. Mrowetz1.5581190
Upcoming Matches
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