TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13143528
Played Sep 17Finished
Dalibor Velky Jr
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118811411511––
Lukas Kantor
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Kantor to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDalibor Velky Jr above · Lukas Kantor below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 69 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Lukas Kantor at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Dalibor Velky Jr 11–5 Lukas Kantor Lukas Kantor has won 5 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:13What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kantor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-5 in 16
Jr
Wrong
gap of 6 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1641 vs Kantor 1551
Jr
Wrong
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 60% vs Kantor 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 50% vs Kantor 70%
Kantor
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr +3 · Kantor +2
Jr
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kantor)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.91 / Kantor 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kantor)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13143528
Jr1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog49% won 110 of 223
Down 0–1, comes back26% 28 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 50
Kantor1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite50% won 26 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it79% 19 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr6wins
AwayKantor4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderJr leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr100%5 of 5
AwayKantor80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr5Kantor5n = 10split evenly
S2Jr3Kantor7n = 10Kantor took 7 of 10
S3Jr3Kantor7n = 10Kantor took 7 of 10
S4Jr7Kantor0n = 7Jr took 7 of 7
S5Jr4Kantor2n = 6Jr took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrKantorJ − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.041.7+1.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrKantorBasisWin rate · lifetime271 / 541 vs 180 / 35850.1%50.3%271 / 541 vs 180 / 358Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KantorJr 1.91/Kantor 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kantor · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kantor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 12:10D. Jr5512101112102L. Kantor571412910123
LAug 5 · 12:10D. Jr2410680L. Kantor341211113
WJun 19 · 07:15D. Jr5611121111113L. Kantor4471413552
WJun 11 · 08:15D. Jr471011411113L. Kantor4112611392
WJun 4 · 07:40D. Jr3811115113L. Kantor31951161
WMay 28 · 12:10D. Jr351113113L. Kantor2151150
LMay 26 · 08:10D. Jr2678110L. Kantor351111133
WMay 19 · 08:55D. Jr42113611113L. Kantor4181111472
LMay 19 · 07:15D. Jr4798111182L. Kantor51111199113
WMay 5 · 09:25D. Jr601215411183L. Kantor621017118162
D. Jr10
WSep 17 · 10:40E. Precek1.80108100D. Jr1.911211123WSep 17 · 10:10D. Pawlik2.38911891D. Jr1.5311511113WSep 17 · 08:45D. Jr1.83513711113T. Kindl1.83111111472LSep 17 · 08:15D. Jr1.731171271R. Benes2.0051114113LSep 17 · 06:45L. Slavik1.8371211133D. Jr1.8311107111WSep 17 · 06:15T. Kindl1.735161481D. Jr2.00111812113LSep 15 · 12:53M. Macurak1.7391111113D. Jr2.00119971LSep 15 · 12:10D. Jr2.0012101112102L. Kantor1.731412910123LSep 15 · 10:40M. Macurak1.73121111123D. Jr2.001458101WSep 15 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.57911101142D. Jr2.25113124113
L. Kantor10
WSep 17 · 11:10L. Kantor2.3811115123D. Pawlik1.534611101WSep 17 · 09:40E. Precek1.6761011141L. Kantor2.1011125163LSep 15 · 13:24J. Krupnik1.8041111123L. Kantor1.911156101WSep 15 · 12:10D. Jr2.0012101112102L. Kantor1.731412910123LSep 15 · 11:10L. Kantor2.5011631152J. Krupnik1.50911117113WSep 15 · 09:40M. Macurak1.40811101122L. Kantor2.75116127113WSep 12 · 09:08A. Kanak1.447860L. Kantor2.631111113LSep 12 · 07:45A. Kanak1.611111113L. Kantor2.204860WSep 12 · 07:15V. Konvicka1.91121111992L. Kantor1.801013711113WSep 12 · 06:15L. Kantor1.911111203T. Lysek1.8059180
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