TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13135279
Played Sep 15Finished
Jan Krupnik
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
4111151161210––
Lukas Kantor
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJan Krupnik above · Lukas Kantor below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 70 set 4, 12-10
70 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krupnik 12–6 Lukas Kantor Lukas Kantor has won 6 of their 18 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Krupnik beat Kantor 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krupnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krupnik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrupnik 1.80 / Kantor 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Krupnik)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13135279
Krupnik1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 136 of 244
Up 2–0, closes it95% 59 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it72% 94 of 130
Kantor1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 55 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back18% 11 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrupnik7wins
AwayKantor3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKrupnik leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrupnik100%4 of 4
AwayKantor50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krupnik4Kantor6n = 10Kantor took 6 of 10
S2Krupnik9Kantor1n = 10Krupnik took 9 of 10
S3Krupnik5Kantor5n = 10split evenly
S4Krupnik3Kantor4n = 7Kantor took 4 of 7
S5Krupnik4Kantor1n = 5Krupnik took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrupnikKantorKrupnik − KantorBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.638.1+4.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrupnikKantorBasisWin rate · lifetime457 / 888 vs 178 / 35551.5%50.1%457 / 888 vs 178 / 355Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupnikKrupnik 1.80/Kantor 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Krupnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Krupnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 11:10J. Krupnik49911117113L. Kantor3611631152
WSep 3 · 12:45J. Krupnik331111113L. Kantor258890
LSep 3 · 09:40J. Krupnik37911981L. Kantor3911611113
WJul 28 · 09:19J. Krupnik351311113L. Kantor2711970
WJul 28 · 05:45J. Krupnik47771111113L. Kantor3711116182
WJun 26 · 06:40J. Krupnik49413811133L. Kantor531111119112
WJun 15 · 08:40J. Krupnik551111814113L. Kantor4447111662
WJun 15 · 08:10J. Krupnik341111123L. Kantor2349100
LJun 11 · 08:50J. Krupnik561612111162L. Kantor581810136113
LJun 11 · 05:45J. Krupnik31911561L. Kantor3911611113
J. Krupnik10
WSep 15 · 11:40M. Macurak1.5771111992J. Krupnik2.25115411113WSep 15 · 11:10L. Kantor2.5011631152J. Krupnik1.50911117113LSep 15 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.57911101142D. Jr2.25113124113WSep 15 · 08:43J. Krupnik2.10771112113J. Gembala1.67111161072WSep 15 · 07:45J. Gembala1.5713101181J. Krupnik2.2515124113LSep 15 · 07:15T. Krenek1.9111116113J. Krupnik1.80641151LSep 15 · 06:15J. Krupnik1.5711119792T. Grmela2.25891111113LSep 14 · 12:45J. Krupnik1.67134781T. Kindl2.10111111113LSep 14 · 11:45J. Krupnik1.9110101111102J. Skvrna1.80121296123WSep 14 · 10:45J. Krupnik1.801111113T. Kindl1.917470
L. Kantor10
WSep 15 · 12:10D. Jr2.0012101112102L. Kantor1.731412910123LSep 15 · 11:10L. Kantor2.5011631152J. Krupnik1.50911117113WSep 15 · 09:40M. Macurak1.40811101122L. Kantor2.75116127113WSep 12 · 09:08A. Kanak1.447860L. Kantor2.631111113LSep 12 · 07:45A. Kanak1.611111113L. Kantor2.204860WSep 12 · 07:15V. Konvicka1.91121111992L. Kantor1.801013711113WSep 12 · 06:15L. Kantor1.911111203T. Lysek1.8059180WSep 9 · 12:39R. Benes1.4091270L. Kantor2.751114113LSep 9 · 12:10R. Sedlacek1.3611117113L. Kantor3.00771171LSep 9 · 11:10L. Kantor2.63691161R. Benes1.4411118113
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