TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13149363
Played Sep 18Finished
Lukas Kantor
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
5111181191210––
Erik Precek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Kantor to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Kantor above · Erik Precek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 77 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Lukas Kantor at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Kantor 3–2 Erik Precek Erik Precek has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:03What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Precek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kantor 1618 vs Precek 1539
Kantor
Correct
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kantor 100% vs Precek 20%
Kantor
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kantor 80% vs Precek 40%
Kantor
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kantor +5 · Precek -2
Kantor
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kantor)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Precek form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKantor 1.83 / Precek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kantor)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13149363
Kantor1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Precek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKantor3wins
AwayPrecek2wins
1 of 5 to a deciderKantor leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKantor66.7%2 of 3
AwayPrecekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kantor3Precek2n = 5Kantor took 3 of 5
S2Kantor2Precek3n = 5Precek took 3 of 5
S3Kantor3Precek2n = 5Kantor took 3 of 5
S4Kantor4Precek1n = 5Kantor took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home360%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricKantorPrecekK − PBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match40.238.0+2.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKantorPrecekBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 362 vs 218 / 46750.8%46.7%184 / 362 vs 218 / 467Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KantorKantor 1.83/Precek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kantor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kantor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 18 · 07:10L. Kantor3951111123E. Precek381189101
WSep 17 · 09:40L. Kantor4411125163E. Precek4161011141
LJun 15 · 06:10L. Kantor4111841172E. Precek41411114113
LApr 29 · 09:20L. Kantor381181181E. Precek4313118113
WApr 29 · 05:45L. Kantor3911611113E. Precek27711541
L. Kantor10
WSep 18 · 05:40T. Kindl1.83714891L. Kantor1.83111211113WSep 17 · 13:14L. Kantor1.5711911113D. Jr2.25411791WSep 17 · 12:10D. Jr1.91118451L. Kantor1.8081111113WSep 17 · 11:10L. Kantor2.3811115123D. Pawlik1.534611101WSep 17 · 09:40E. Precek1.6761011141L. Kantor2.1011125163LSep 15 · 13:24J. Krupnik1.8041111123L. Kantor1.911156101WSep 15 · 12:10D. Jr2.0012101112102L. Kantor1.731412910123LSep 15 · 11:10L. Kantor2.5011631152J. Krupnik1.50911117113WSep 15 · 09:40M. Macurak1.40811101122L. Kantor2.75116127113WSep 12 · 09:08A. Kanak1.447860L. Kantor2.631111113
E. Precek10
LSep 18 · 07:40T. Kindl1.91138911113E. Precek1.80111111672LSep 18 · 06:10E. Precek2.7569100R. Sedlacek1.401111123LSep 17 · 12:43E. Precek1.916880D. Pawlik1.801111113WSep 17 · 11:40E. Precek2.38314115113D. Pawlik1.53111291192LSep 17 · 10:40E. Precek1.80108100D. Jr1.911211123LSep 17 · 09:40E. Precek1.6761011141L. Kantor2.1011125163WSep 13 · 12:35J. Krupnik2.059911101E. Precek1.6811115123WSep 13 · 12:10T. Krenek1.673960E. Precek2.101111113LSep 13 · 11:10E. Precek2.25841181J. Skvrna1.5711117113LSep 13 · 09:40J. Krupnik1.5714117113E. Precek2.251261171
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