TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13146430
Played Sep 17Finished
Erik Precek
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611811811––––
Dominik Pawlik
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingErik Precek above · Dominik Pawlik below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 55 set 3, 8-11
55 points played in total.
H2H Erik Precek 8–7 Dominik Pawlik Dominik Pawlik has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pawlik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pawlik form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrecek 1.91 / Pawlik 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pawlik)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13146430
Precek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 56 of 137
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 45
Pawlik1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 61 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it93% 39 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it80% 49 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrecek4wins
AwayPawlik6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPawlik leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrecek66.7%2 of 3
AwayPawlik71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Precek3Pawlik7n = 10Pawlik took 7 of 10
S2Precek6Pawlik4n = 10Precek took 6 of 10
S3Precek5Pawlik5n = 10split evenly
S4Precek6Pawlik2n = 8Precek took 6 of 8
S5Precek1Pawlik4n = 5Pawlik took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrecekPawlikPrecek − PawlikBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match42.743.0−0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrecekPawlikBasisWin rate · lifetime218 / 464 vs 238 / 47347%50.3%218 / 464 vs 238 / 473Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PawlikPrecek 1.91/Pawlik 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pawlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pawlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 25 · 07:10E. Precek4171111123D. Pawlik311137101
WMay 14 · 14:10E. Precek4311118133D. Pawlik337411111
LMay 9 · 07:15E. Precek4571181272D. Pawlik511181110113
LMay 6 · 09:40E. Precek25721151D. Pawlik4111118113
LMay 3 · 06:15E. Precek49811111182D. Pawlik47111375113
WApr 29 · 06:45E. Precek52981113113D. Pawlik48111191162
WApr 18 · 12:10E. Precek361114113D. Pawlik2991280
LApr 18 · 08:45E. Precek5111139992D. Pawlik506111111113
LApr 18 · 08:10E. Precek39814170D. Pawlik461116193
LApr 5 · 19:40E. Precek46121141182D. Pawlik54149119113
E. Precek10
WSep 17 · 11:40E. Precek2.38314115113D. Pawlik1.53111291192LSep 17 · 10:40E. Precek1.80108100D. Jr1.911211123LSep 17 · 09:40E. Precek1.6761011141L. Kantor2.1011125163WSep 13 · 12:35J. Krupnik2.059911101E. Precek1.6811115123WSep 13 · 12:10T. Krenek1.673960E. Precek2.101111113LSep 13 · 11:10E. Precek2.25841181J. Skvrna1.5711117113LSep 13 · 09:40J. Krupnik1.5714117113E. Precek2.251261171WSep 12 · 17:20I. Heuman1.91119381E. Precek1.8071111113LSep 12 · 16:10I. Heuman2.101111119113E. Precek1.6759131182WSep 12 · 15:10E. Precek1.831412113D. Vitasek1.83121090
D. Pawlik10
LSep 17 · 11:40E. Precek2.38314115113D. Pawlik1.53111291192LSep 17 · 11:10L. Kantor2.3811115123D. Pawlik1.534611101LSep 17 · 10:10D. Pawlik2.38911891D. Jr1.5311511113LSep 16 · 13:10M. Moravec1.731112123D. Pawlik2.00710100WSep 16 · 11:40D. Pawlik1.731281111113T. Kindl2.0014117992LSep 16 · 10:40D. Pawlik1.8314960M. Moravec1.831611113WSep 16 · 09:40D. Pawlik1.6111118113L. Dzida2.20891171WSep 14 · 08:45L. Lasota1.839111181D. Pawlik1.8311133113WSep 14 · 07:45D. Pawlik1.731111113R. Sedlacek2.005770LSep 14 · 06:45D. Pawlik1.8081181182L. Lasota1.91114119113
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