TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13155783
Played Sep 19Finished
Jan Krupnik
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
111311131191210811
Radek Sedlacek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadek Sedlacek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Krupnik above · Radek Sedlacek below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 109 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Radek Sedlacek at 54.0%
109 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krupnik 13–14 Radek Sedlacek Jan Krupnik has won 13 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:49What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Krupnik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-14 in 27
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krupnik 1638 vs Sedlacek 1533
Krupnik
Wrong
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krupnik 60% vs Sedlacek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krupnik 50% vs Sedlacek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krupnik +3 · Sedlacek -1
Krupnik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Krupnik) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrupnik 1.73 / Sedlacek 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Krupnik)+3.6pp
TT Cup · #13155783
Krupnik1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 136 of 248
Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it72% 93 of 130
Sedlacek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 30 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back28% 12 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrupnik6wins
AwaySedlacek4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKrupnik leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrupnik100%6 of 6
AwaySedlacek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krupnik6Sedlacek4n = 10Krupnik took 6 of 10
S2Krupnik6Sedlacek4n = 10Krupnik took 6 of 10
S3Krupnik7Sedlacek3n = 10Krupnik took 7 of 10
S4Krupnik2Sedlacek3n = 5Sedlacek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrupnikSedlacekK − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.932.1+4.8per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrupnikSedlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime461 / 896 vs 144 / 31351.5%46%461 / 896 vs 144 / 313Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupnikKrupnik 1.73/Sedlacek 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.3%
Krupnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sedlacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 20:45J. Krupnik351311113R. Sedlacek2611690
LSep 7 · 19:15J. Krupnik481061111102R. Sedlacek48121176123
WSep 4 · 13:10J. Krupnik4211119113R. Sedlacek28931151
LSep 4 · 11:40J. Krupnik3710121141R. Sedlacek4012143113
WAug 22 · 20:10J. Krupnik351111133R. Sedlacek2375110
LJul 17 · 05:45J. Krupnik328101131R. Sedlacek4011126113
WJul 12 · 21:10J. Krupnik331111113R. Sedlacek258980
LJul 12 · 18:40J. Krupnik2392120R. Sedlacek361111143
WMay 6 · 05:45J. Krupnik341211113R. Sedlacek2010370
WApr 21 · 08:10J. Krupnik501111710113R. Sedlacek3516111252
J. Krupnik10
WSep 19 · 07:45J. Krupnik2.38128611113J. Skalicky1.53101111872WSep 19 · 06:45J. Krupnik1.911171111113R. Benes1.8061151352WSep 18 · 12:44J. Krupnik1.8311148113R. Benes1.836121181WSep 18 · 11:45J. Krupnik1.9161112113J. Skvrna1.801191081WSep 18 · 10:45J. Krupnik1.91911119133R. Benes1.80115411112LSep 18 · 09:45J. Krupnik1.73117381T. Krenek2.0071111113LSep 17 · 12:45M. Macurak1.611111123J. Krupnik2.2057100LSep 17 · 11:45J. Krupnik1.9181361182J. Skvrna1.801111118113LSep 17 · 10:45J. Krupnik2.381391181M. Macurak1.5315119113LSep 17 · 09:45J. Krupnik1.731491191T. Krenek2.0016117113
R. Sedlacek10
LSep 19 · 07:15R. Sedlacek2.1012581192J. Skalicky1.671011118113LSep 18 · 09:14R. Sedlacek1.53111165122L. Kantor2.38671111143WSep 18 · 08:10R. Sedlacek1.57101413113L. Kantor2.2512121141WSep 18 · 06:40T. Kindl2.00112111172R. Sedlacek1.73611137113WSep 18 · 06:10E. Precek2.7569100R. Sedlacek1.401111123LSep 14 · 09:15R. Sedlacek1.61116391L. Dzida2.2071111113LSep 14 · 07:45D. Pawlik1.731111113R. Sedlacek2.005770WSep 14 · 07:15L. Dzida1.8356100R. Sedlacek1.831111123WSep 14 · 06:15R. Sedlacek2.5011711113L. Lasota1.50311851LSep 13 · 20:45M. Moravec1.831110145113R. Sedlacek1.83612121162
Upcoming Matches
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R. Sedlacek
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