TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13156747
Played Sep 19Finished
Radek Benes
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
51110121214––––
Radek Sedlacek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:40 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeRadek Benes to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadek Benes above · Radek Sedlacek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 64 set 3, 12-14 — our read held Radek Benes at 54.9%
64 points played in total.
H2H Radek Benes 20–15 Radek Sedlacek Radek Sedlacek has won 15 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:40What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Benes
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-15 in 35
Benes
Wrong
gap of 5 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Benes 1561 vs Sedlacek 1551
Benes
Wrong
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Benes 0% vs Sedlacek 60%
Sedlacek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Benes 20% vs Sedlacek 60%
Sedlacek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Benes -8 · Sedlacek -1
Benes
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Benes) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Benes form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBenes 1.73 / Sedlacek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Benes)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13156747
Benes1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 170 of 300
Up 2–0, closes it94% 72 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it75% 114 of 152
Sedlacek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 30 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back28% 12 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBenes7wins
AwaySedlacek3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBenes leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBenes100%5 of 5
AwaySedlacek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Benes5Sedlacek5n = 10split evenly
S2Benes4Sedlacek6n = 10Sedlacek took 6 of 10
S3Benes5Sedlacek5n = 10split evenly
S4Benes7Sedlacek1n = 8Benes took 7 of 8
S5Benes2Sedlacek1n = 3Benes took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBenesSedlacekB − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.238.7+0.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBenesSedlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime498 / 959 vs 145 / 31551.9%46%498 / 959 vs 145 / 315Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BenesBenes 1.73/Sedlacek 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Benes · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sedlacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 10:10R. Benes43411611113R. Sedlacek4411511892
WSep 9 · 07:40R. Benes4312911113R. Sedlacek361011691
WSep 2 · 10:45R. Benes3911116113R. Sedlacek35871191
WAug 10 · 10:10R. Benes3841211113R. Sedlacek361110691
LJul 27 · 08:10R. Benes2595110R. Sedlacek351111133
WJun 24 · 13:15R. Benes511161111123R. Sedlacek47611713102
LJun 24 · 10:10R. Benes50121261192R. Sedlacek541410118113
WJun 24 · 08:40R. Benes3711411113R. Sedlacek32511791
LJun 24 · 08:10R. Benes239680R. Sedlacek331111113
WMay 25 · 09:40R. Benes4311813113R. Sedlacek355111181
R. Benes10
WSep 19 · 09:45K. Kleprlik2.0091171392R. Benes1.731181111113LSep 19 · 08:45R. Sedlacek1.911511129113R. Benes1.80138141192LSep 19 · 06:45J. Krupnik1.911171111113R. Benes1.8061151352LSep 19 · 06:15J. Skalicky2.1011111111113R. Benes1.6713813792LSep 18 · 12:44J. Krupnik1.8311148113R. Benes1.836121181LSep 18 · 12:15R. Benes1.73461151T. Krenek2.0011113113LSep 18 · 10:45J. Krupnik1.91911119133R. Benes1.80115411112LSep 18 · 10:15J. Skvrna1.73911115153R. Benes2.00118711132LSep 18 · 09:13T. Krenek1.8311811113R. Benes1.83811571LSep 18 · 08:15R. Benes1.73811691T. Krenek2.0011811113
R. Sedlacek10
WSep 19 · 08:45R. Sedlacek1.911511129113R. Benes1.80138141192LSep 19 · 07:15R. Sedlacek2.1012581192J. Skalicky1.671011118113WSep 19 · 05:45J. Krupnik1.731111111282R. Sedlacek2.001313910113LSep 18 · 09:14R. Sedlacek1.53111165122L. Kantor2.38671111143WSep 18 · 08:10R. Sedlacek1.57101413113L. Kantor2.2512121141WSep 18 · 06:40T. Kindl2.00112111172R. Sedlacek1.73611137113WSep 18 · 06:10E. Precek2.7569100R. Sedlacek1.401111123LSep 14 · 09:15R. Sedlacek1.61116391L. Dzida2.2071111113LSep 14 · 07:45D. Pawlik1.731111113R. Sedlacek2.005770WSep 14 · 07:15L. Dzida1.8356100R. Sedlacek1.831111123
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