TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13141593
Played Sep 16Finished
Borek Moravec
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1171197118111311
David Skulina
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingBorek Moravec above · David Skulina below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 99 set 5, 13-11
99 points played in total.
H2H Borek Moravec 6–1 David Skulina David Skulina has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Moravec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skulina form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.53 / Skulina 2.38
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Moravec)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13141593
Moravec1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 108 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it100% 49 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it88% 79 of 90
Skulina2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 17 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back20% 4 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMoravec6wins
AwaySkulina1wins
2 of 7 to a deciderMoravec leads 6–1, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravec100%6 of 6
AwaySkulinan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec6Skulina1n = 7Moravec took 6 of 7
S2Moravec3Skulina4n = 7Skulina took 4 of 7
S3Moravec6Skulina1n = 7Moravec took 6 of 7
S4Moravec2Skulina3n = 5Skulina took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricMoravecSkulinaM − SBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set61+5of 7Avg pointsper match40.933.9+7.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecSkulinaBasisWin rate · lifetime265 / 460 vs 86 / 16857.6%51.2%265 / 460 vs 86 / 168Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 1.53/Skulina 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.2%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Moravec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 15 · 19:15B. Moravec49117119113D. Skulina4691181172
WSep 15 · 17:13B. Moravec49117119113D. Skulina4691181172
WSep 15 · 13:45B. Moravec331111113D. Skulina217680
LAug 21 · 14:40B. Moravec401191191D. Skulina4113116113
WApr 29 · 15:40B. Moravec341111123D. Skulina1844100
WJan 27 · 15:10B. Moravec4011117113D. Skulina32581181
WJan 6 · 17:15B. Moravec4111811113D. Skulina33711961
B. Moravec10
WSep 16 · 15:45B. Moravec1.50871111113F. Chaloupka2.5011116882WSep 16 · 14:45B. Moravec1.44117119113B. Mrowetz2.6351191172WSep 16 · 13:45B. Moravec1.50811118113D. Skulina2.5011631162WSep 15 · 19:15B. Moravec1.47117119113D. Skulina2.5091181172WSep 15 · 17:13B. Moravec1.44117119113D. Skulina2.6391181172WSep 15 · 15:45B. Moravec1.5071311113M. Macurak2.501111551WSep 15 · 14:45B. Moravec1.501111113B. Mrowetz2.504960WSep 15 · 13:45B. Moravec1.571111113D. Skulina2.257680LSep 12 · 09:09A. Vitasek1.441111153B. Moravec2.6375130LSep 12 · 07:40B. Moravec2.259920A. Vitasek1.571111113
D. Skulina10
WSep 16 · 16:15B. Mrowetz2.00813110D. Skulina1.731115133WSep 16 · 15:15D. Skulina1.91611114113F. Chaloupka1.8011871152LSep 16 · 13:45B. Moravec1.50811118113D. Skulina2.5011631162LSep 15 · 19:15B. Moravec1.47117119113D. Skulina2.5091181172LSep 15 · 17:13B. Moravec1.44117119113D. Skulina2.6391181172WSep 15 · 16:15B. Mrowetz1.6112590D. Skulina2.201411113WSep 15 · 15:15D. Skulina1.831611113M. Macurak1.8314490LSep 15 · 13:45B. Moravec1.571111113D. Skulina2.257680LSep 12 · 16:50D. Vitasek—1111133D. Skulina—98110LSep 12 · 15:40D. Skulina1.501111781D. Vitasek2.5061311113
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