TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13139318
Played Sep 16Finished
Borek Moravec
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
115711119911117
Bruno Mrowetz
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:27 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeBorek Moravec to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBorek Moravec above · Bruno Mrowetz below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 92 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Borek Moravec at 66.9%
92 points played in total.
H2H Borek Moravec 7–1 Bruno Mrowetz Bruno Mrowetz has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:27What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Moravec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-1 in 8
Moravec
Correct
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1769 vs Mrowetz 1634
Moravec
Correct
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 100% vs Mrowetz 20%
Moravec
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 80% vs Mrowetz 40%
Moravec
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec +5 · Mrowetz +1
Moravec
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Moravec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mrowetz form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.44 / Mrowetz 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Moravec)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13139318
Moravec1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 108 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it100% 49 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it88% 79 of 90
Mrowetz2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 60 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeMoravec7wins
AwayMrowetz1wins
4 of 8 to a deciderMoravec leads 7–1, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravec100%4 of 4
AwayMrowetz25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec4Mrowetz4n = 8split evenly
S2Moravec6Mrowetz2n = 8Moravec took 6 of 8
S3Moravec7Mrowetz1n = 8Moravec took 7 of 8
S4Moravec3Mrowetz3n = 6split evenly
S5Moravec3Mrowetz1n = 4Moravec took 3 of 4
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home338%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricMoravecMrowetzMoravec − MrowetzBasisWins71+6in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match42.434.1+8.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecMrowetzBasisWin rate · lifetime264 / 459 vs 245 / 48957.5%50.1%264 / 459 vs 245 / 489Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 1.44/Mrowetz 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Moravec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 15 · 14:45B. Moravec331111113B. Mrowetz194960
WJul 10 · 14:45B. Moravec48511117143B. Mrowetz44112811122
WJul 6 · 13:40B. Moravec3951111123B. Mrowetz311173101
WJun 16 · 14:10B. Moravec331111113B. Mrowetz166550
WMay 12 · 14:40B. Moravec3911115123B. Mrowetz311911101
WApr 26 · 09:15B. Moravec491110116113B. Mrowetz4461261192
LApr 26 · 06:45B. Moravec4771111992B. Mrowetz46117611113
WMar 14 · 08:45B. Moravec51981112113B. Mrowetz42111171032
B. Moravec10
WSep 16 · 15:45B. Moravec1.50871111113F. Chaloupka2.5011116882WSep 16 · 13:45B. Moravec1.50811118113D. Skulina2.5011631162WSep 15 · 19:15B. Moravec1.47117119113D. Skulina2.5091181172WSep 15 · 17:13B. Moravec1.44117119113D. Skulina2.6391181172WSep 15 · 15:45B. Moravec1.5071311113M. Macurak2.501111551WSep 15 · 14:45B. Moravec1.501111113B. Mrowetz2.504960WSep 15 · 13:45B. Moravec1.571111113D. Skulina2.257680LSep 12 · 09:09A. Vitasek1.441111153B. Moravec2.6375130LSep 12 · 07:40B. Moravec2.259920A. Vitasek1.571111113WSep 12 · 06:40B. Moravec1.6141111113J. Skalicky2.20117541
B. Mrowetz10
WSep 16 · 14:15F. Chaloupka1.7311691162B. Mrowetz2.00911119113LSep 15 · 16:45M. Macurak1.671111113B. Mrowetz2.107690LSep 15 · 16:15B. Mrowetz1.6112590D. Skulina2.201411113LSep 15 · 14:45B. Moravec1.501111113B. Mrowetz2.504960LSep 15 · 14:15M. Macurak1.7311118113B. Mrowetz2.00691191LSep 10 · 13:20B. Mrowetz1.73117891L. Slavik2.0091111113LSep 10 · 11:45B. Mrowetz2.0011118682J. Skvrna1.73731111113WSep 10 · 10:45B. Mrowetz1.6711811113T. Grmela2.10611541WSep 10 · 09:45B. Mrowetz1.73116115113L. Slavik2.0071191162WSep 7 · 13:10T. Kindl1.968890B. Mrowetz1.701111113
Upcoming Matches
B. Moravec
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B. Mrowetz
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