TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13139348
Played Sep 16Finished
Frantisek Chaloupka
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119611911119611
Bruno Mrowetz
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:26 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Chaloupka to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFrantisek Chaloupka above · Bruno Mrowetz below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 94 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Frantisek Chaloupka at 54.1%
94 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Chaloupka 7–4 Bruno Mrowetz Bruno Mrowetz has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:26What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Chaloupka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Chaloupka
Wrong
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chaloupka 1591 vs Mrowetz 1624
Mrowetz
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chaloupka 40% vs Mrowetz 0%
Chaloupka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chaloupka 40% vs Mrowetz 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chaloupka -1 · Mrowetz -5
Mrowetz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chaloupka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mrowetz form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChaloupka 1.73 / Mrowetz 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Chaloupka)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13139348
Chaloupka1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 93 of 170
Up 2–0, closes it97% 61 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it76% 79 of 104
Mrowetz2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 60 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChaloupka6wins
AwayMrowetz4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderChaloupka leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChaloupka57.1%4 of 7
AwayMrowetz33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chaloupka7Mrowetz3n = 10Chaloupka took 7 of 10
S2Chaloupka5Mrowetz5n = 10split evenly
S3Chaloupka7Mrowetz3n = 10Chaloupka took 7 of 10
S4Chaloupka5Mrowetz3n = 8Chaloupka took 5 of 8
S5Chaloupka1Mrowetz3n = 4Mrowetz took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricChaloupkaMrowetzC − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.938.6+4.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChaloupkaMrowetzBasisWin rate · lifetime268 / 517 vs 244 / 48851.8%50%268 / 517 vs 244 / 488Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChaloupkaChaloupka 1.73/Mrowetz 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Chaloupka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mrowetz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 15:15F. Chaloupka40919661B. Mrowetz50111711113
WAug 24 · 10:40F. Chaloupka4181111113B. Mrowetz27119521
WAug 16 · 13:20F. Chaloupka331111113B. Mrowetz227960
WAug 16 · 10:40F. Chaloupka48551111163B. Mrowetz49111194142
WAug 9 · 10:10F. Chaloupka43111011113B. Mrowetz34712781
LAug 2 · 10:15F. Chaloupka4414471182B. Mrowetz501211115113
WJul 5 · 16:45F. Chaloupka351111133B. Mrowetz2054110
LJul 5 · 13:40F. Chaloupka4911911992B. Mrowetz47711711113
WMay 19 · 16:35F. Chaloupka4011117113B. Mrowetz32681171
LMay 19 · 13:40F. Chaloupka561213111192B. Mrowetz551015613113
F. Chaloupka10
LSep 16 · 15:15D. Skulina1.91611114113F. Chaloupka1.8011871152LSep 13 · 09:10T. Krenek2.1011114113F. Chaloupka1.65471161WSep 13 · 07:40J. Gembala1.67913591F. Chaloupka2.10111111113LSep 13 · 07:10T. Krenek1.9113118113F. Chaloupka1.801171171WSep 13 · 06:10F. Chaloupka1.831311510113J. Skalicky1.83117111282LSep 12 · 08:40F. Chaloupka1.919970J. Skalicky1.801111113WSep 12 · 08:10J. Skalicky1.80591161F. Chaloupka1.9111118113LSep 12 · 07:10F. Chaloupka2.3861191162A. Vitasek1.53117117113LSep 12 · 05:40B. Moravec1.501111113F. Chaloupka2.505380LSep 11 · 21:19F. Chaloupka1.678980D. Skulina2.101111113
B. Mrowetz10
LSep 16 · 14:45B. Moravec1.44117119113B. Mrowetz2.6351191172LSep 15 · 16:45M. Macurak1.671111113B. Mrowetz2.107690LSep 15 · 16:15B. Mrowetz1.6112590D. Skulina2.201411113LSep 15 · 14:45B. Moravec1.501111113B. Mrowetz2.504960LSep 15 · 14:15M. Macurak1.7311118113B. Mrowetz2.00691191LSep 10 · 13:20B. Mrowetz1.73117891L. Slavik2.0091111113LSep 10 · 11:45B. Mrowetz2.0011118682J. Skvrna1.73731111113WSep 10 · 10:45B. Mrowetz1.6711811113T. Grmela2.10611541WSep 10 · 09:45B. Mrowetz1.73116115113L. Slavik2.0071191162WSep 7 · 13:10T. Kindl1.968890B. Mrowetz1.701111113
Upcoming Matches
F. Chaloupka
Nothing scheduled
B. Mrowetz
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.