TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13139312
Played Sep 16Finished
David Skulina
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611118117411115
Frantisek Chaloupka
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Chaloupka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDavid Skulina above · Frantisek Chaloupka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 85 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Frantisek Chaloupka at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H David Skulina 4–6 Frantisek Chaloupka David Skulina has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:27What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Chaloupka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Chaloupka
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skulina 1605 vs Chaloupka 1582
Skulina
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skulina 40% vs Chaloupka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skulina 30% vs Chaloupka 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skulina -3 · Chaloupka -2
Skulina
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chaloupka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chaloupka form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkulina 1.91 / Chaloupka 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Chaloupka)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13139312
Skulina1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 17 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back20% 4 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Chaloupka1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 93 of 170
Up 2–0, closes it97% 61 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it76% 79 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkulina4wins
AwayChaloupka6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderChaloupka leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkulina50%2 of 4
AwayChaloupka66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skulina4Chaloupka6n = 10Chaloupka took 6 of 10
S2Skulina4Chaloupka6n = 10Chaloupka took 6 of 10
S3Skulina5Chaloupka5n = 10split evenly
S4Skulina4Chaloupka4n = 8split evenly
S5Skulina2Chaloupka2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkulinaChaloupkaS − CBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.341.0−2.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkulinaChaloupkaBasisWin rate · lifetime84 / 167 vs 268 / 51850.3%51.7%84 / 167 vs 268 / 518Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChaloupkaSkulina 1.91/Chaloupka 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Chaloupka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Skulina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 21:19D. Skulina331111113F. Chaloupka258980
LSep 11 · 19:45D. Skulina4011771412F. Chaloupka527111112113
WSep 4 · 14:45D. Skulina491131211123F. Chaloupka47411148102
WSep 1 · 16:10D. Skulina4291111113F. Chaloupka31117581
LAug 21 · 17:15D. Skulina388911101F. Chaloupka3911115123
LAug 21 · 14:10D. Skulina31681161F. Chaloupka4211119113
LMar 16 · 17:15D. Skulina2492130F. Chaloupka371111153
LJan 6 · 18:20D. Skulina4781181192F. Chaloupka47116118113
WJan 6 · 15:15D. Skulina49911114143F. Chaloupka49117811122
LDec 9 · 17:10D. Skulina30118471F. Chaloupka4181111113
D. Skulina10
WSep 16 · 16:15B. Mrowetz2.00813110D. Skulina1.731115133LSep 16 · 13:45B. Moravec1.50811118113D. Skulina2.5011631162LSep 15 · 19:15B. Moravec1.47117119113D. Skulina2.5091181172LSep 15 · 17:13B. Moravec1.44117119113D. Skulina2.6391181172WSep 15 · 16:15B. Mrowetz1.6112590D. Skulina2.201411113WSep 15 · 15:15D. Skulina1.831611113M. Macurak1.8314490LSep 15 · 13:45B. Moravec1.571111113D. Skulina2.257680LSep 12 · 16:50D. Vitasek—1111133D. Skulina—98110LSep 12 · 15:40D. Skulina1.501111781D. Vitasek2.5061311113WSep 12 · 14:40D. Skulina1.6712141111113I. Heuman2.1014169932
F. Chaloupka10
LSep 16 · 15:45B. Moravec1.50871111113F. Chaloupka2.5011116882LSep 16 · 14:15F. Chaloupka1.7311691162B. Mrowetz2.00911119113LSep 13 · 09:10T. Krenek2.1011114113F. Chaloupka1.65471161WSep 13 · 07:40J. Gembala1.67913591F. Chaloupka2.10111111113LSep 13 · 07:10T. Krenek1.9113118113F. Chaloupka1.801171171WSep 13 · 06:10F. Chaloupka1.831311510113J. Skalicky1.83117111282LSep 12 · 08:40F. Chaloupka1.919970J. Skalicky1.801111113WSep 12 · 08:10J. Skalicky1.80591161F. Chaloupka1.9111118113LSep 12 · 07:10F. Chaloupka2.3861191162A. Vitasek1.53117117113LSep 12 · 05:40B. Moravec1.501111113F. Chaloupka2.505380
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