TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13135943
Played Sep 15Finished
Borek Moravec
Home
1.47
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119711118911117
David Skulina
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:48 and never touched — 66.2% is still 66.2%
Graded at full timeBorek Moravec to win
66.2%
66.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
119711118911117
H2H Borek Moravec 5–1 David Skulina David Skulina has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 2h before this match
Moravec beat Skulina 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:48What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (63%)
Moravec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Moravec
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1755 vs Skulina 1618
Moravec
Correct
both rated, 137 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 80% vs Skulina 40%
Moravec
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 70% vs Skulina 40%
Moravec
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec +4 · Skulina -1
Moravec
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Moravec) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moravec form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.47 / Skulina 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Moravec)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13135943
Moravec1.47
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 103 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it100% 47 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it87% 75 of 86
Skulina2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 16 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back24% 4 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMoravec5wins
AwaySkulina1wins
1 of 6 to a deciderMoravec leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravec100%5 of 5
AwaySkulinan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec5Skulina1n = 6Moravec took 5 of 6
S2Moravec3Skulina3n = 6split evenly
S3Moravec5Skulina1n = 6Moravec took 5 of 6
S4Moravec2Skulina2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricMoravecSkulinaM − SBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match39.531.8+7.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecSkulinaBasisWin rate · lifetime262 / 457 vs 84 / 16557.3%50.9%262 / 457 vs 84 / 165Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 1.47/Skulina 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.4%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Moravec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 15 · 17:13B. Moravec49117119113D. Skulina4691181172
WSep 15 · 13:45B. Moravec331111113D. Skulina217680
LAug 21 · 14:40B. Moravec401191191D. Skulina4113116113
WApr 29 · 15:40B. Moravec341111123D. Skulina1844100
WJan 27 · 15:10B. Moravec4011117113D. Skulina32581181
WJan 6 · 17:15B. Moravec4111811113D. Skulina33711961
B. Moravec10
WSep 15 · 17:13B. Moravec1.44117119113D. Skulina2.6391181172WSep 15 · 15:45B. Moravec1.5071311113M. Macurak2.501111551WSep 15 · 14:45B. Moravec1.501111113B. Mrowetz2.504960WSep 15 · 13:45B. Moravec1.571111113D. Skulina2.257680LSep 12 · 09:09A. Vitasek1.441111153B. Moravec2.6375130LSep 12 · 07:40B. Moravec2.259920A. Vitasek1.571111113WSep 12 · 06:40B. Moravec1.6141111113J. Skalicky2.20117541WSep 12 · 05:40B. Moravec1.501111113F. Chaloupka2.505380LSep 11 · 17:15F. Chaloupka2.4011118143B. Moravec1.509911121WSep 11 · 15:45B. Moravec1.8011118113J. Pribyl1.91861161
D. Skulina10
LSep 15 · 17:13B. Moravec1.44117119113D. Skulina2.6391181172WSep 15 · 16:15B. Mrowetz1.6112590D. Skulina2.201411113WSep 15 · 15:15D. Skulina1.831611113M. Macurak1.8314490LSep 15 · 13:45B. Moravec1.571111113D. Skulina2.257680LSep 12 · 16:50D. Vitasek—1111133D. Skulina—98110LSep 12 · 15:40D. Skulina1.501111781D. Vitasek2.5061311113WSep 12 · 14:40D. Skulina1.6712141111113I. Heuman2.1014169932LSep 12 · 13:40D. Skulina1.618137101E. Precek2.20111111123WSep 11 · 21:19F. Chaloupka1.678980D. Skulina2.101111113LSep 11 · 19:45D. Skulina2.3811771412F. Chaloupka1.537111112113
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