TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Frantisek Chaloupka
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115115117––––
Jiri Skalicky
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Chaloupka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Chaloupka above · Jiri Skalicky below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 50 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Frantisek Chaloupka at 54.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Chaloupka 9–10 Jiri Skalicky Frantisek Chaloupka has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:01What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Skalicky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-10 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chaloupka 1662 vs Skalicky 1620
Chaloupka
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chaloupka 100% vs Skalicky 60%
Chaloupka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chaloupka 80% vs Skalicky 50%
Chaloupka
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chaloupka +5 · Skalicky +1
Chaloupka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chaloupka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chaloupka form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChaloupka 1.83 / Skalicky 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Chaloupka)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13164357
Chaloupka1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Skalicky1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChaloupka6wins
AwaySkalicky4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderChaloupka leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChaloupka75%6 of 8
AwaySkalickyn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chaloupka8Skalicky2n = 10Chaloupka took 8 of 10
S2Chaloupka6Skalicky4n = 10Chaloupka took 6 of 10
S3Chaloupka4Skalicky6n = 10Skalicky took 6 of 10
S4Chaloupka3Skalicky5n = 8Skalicky took 5 of 8
S5Chaloupka2Skalicky2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricChaloupkaSkalickyC − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.939.2+0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChaloupkaSkalickyBasisWin rate · lifetime279 / 534 vs 104 / 20452.3%51%279 / 534 vs 104 / 204Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChaloupkaChaloupka 1.83/Skalicky 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Chaloupka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Chaloupka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 06:10F. Chaloupka501311510113J. Skalicky49117111282
LSep 12 · 08:40F. Chaloupka259970J. Skalicky331111113
WSep 12 · 08:10F. Chaloupka4111118113J. Skalicky31591161
WAug 30 · 08:49F. Chaloupka44111011123J. Skalicky326124101
LAug 30 · 07:10F. Chaloupka33791161J. Skalicky4211119113
LAug 22 · 19:40F. Chaloupka49116129112J. Skalicky516111011133
WJul 12 · 13:40F. Chaloupka45111256113J. Skalicky49910111182
LJun 21 · 07:15F. Chaloupka3511114452J. Skalicky47771111113
WMay 17 · 08:40F. Chaloupka44111111113J. Skalicky38971391
WMay 17 · 08:10F. Chaloupka331111113J. Skalicky206950
F. Chaloupka10
WSep 20 · 14:45M. Zaskodny2.20119661F. Chaloupka1.6181111113WSep 20 · 14:15D. Skulina1.9179111192F. Chaloupka1.80111197113WSep 19 · 13:15F. Chaloupka1.6081111113R. Benes2.07117881WSep 19 · 11:45K. Kleprlik1.83911961F. Chaloupka1.8311611113WSep 19 · 11:15R. Benes2.10611461F. Chaloupka1.6711911113LSep 19 · 10:15F. Chaloupka1.531041581R. Sedlacek2.38121113113LSep 19 · 09:09F. Chaloupka1.508570J. Travnicek2.501111113WSep 19 · 07:40F. Chaloupka1.611111113J. Travnicek2.208970WSep 19 · 06:40F. Chaloupka1.5781111113D. Vitasek2.25116891WSep 19 · 05:40F. Chaloupka1.53111197113E. Precek2.3859111192
J. Skalicky10
WSep 20 · 15:15J. Skalicky1.671311115133D. Skulina2.10159811112LSep 20 · 13:45M. Zaskodny1.7611118113J. Skalicky1.90691151WSep 19 · 09:15J. Skalicky1.61611116113J. Krupnik2.2011681192LSep 19 · 07:45J. Krupnik2.38128611113J. Skalicky1.53101111872WSep 19 · 07:15R. Sedlacek2.1012581192J. Skalicky1.671011118113WSep 19 · 06:15J. Skalicky2.1011111111113R. Benes1.6713813792LSep 13 · 08:40J. Gembala1.6711611113J. Skalicky2.10611881WSep 13 · 08:10J. Skalicky1.8011814113T. Krenek1.915111221LSep 13 · 06:40J. Gembala1.7311127113J. Skalicky2.009101171LSep 13 · 06:10F. Chaloupka1.831311510113J. Skalicky1.83117111282
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