TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13155776
Played Sep 19Finished
Frantisek Chaloupka
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
115119911711119
Erik Precek
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:49 and never touched — 60.4% is still 60.4%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Chaloupka to win
60.4%
60.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Chaloupka above · Erik Precek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 94 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Frantisek Chaloupka at 60.4%
94 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Chaloupka 6–4 Erik Precek Erik Precek has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:49What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Chaloupka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Chaloupka
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chaloupka 1613 vs Precek 1537
Chaloupka
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chaloupka 60% vs Precek 20%
Chaloupka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chaloupka 40% vs Precek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chaloupka +1 · Precek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Chaloupka) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Precek form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChaloupka 1.53 / Precek 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Chaloupka)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13155776
Chaloupka1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 94 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it97% 61 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it75% 80 of 107
Precek2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 57 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back23% 18 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChaloupka6wins
AwayPrecek4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderChaloupka leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChaloupka75%6 of 8
AwayPrecekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chaloupka8Precek2n = 10Chaloupka took 8 of 10
S2Chaloupka6Precek4n = 10Chaloupka took 6 of 10
S3Chaloupka7Precek3n = 10Chaloupka took 7 of 10
S4Chaloupka4Precek4n = 8split evenly
S5Chaloupka1Precek4n = 5Precek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricChaloupkaPrecekC − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match43.036.1+6.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChaloupkaPrecekBasisWin rate · lifetime271 / 525 vs 219 / 46951.6%46.7%271 / 525 vs 219 / 469Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChaloupkaChaloupka 1.53/Precek 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64%
Chaloupka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Chaloupka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 2 · 05:40F. Chaloupka4711811892E. Precek48811711113
WJul 25 · 10:40F. Chaloupka331111113E. Precek189630
WJul 18 · 18:10F. Chaloupka45111112113E. Precek38881481
WJul 12 · 16:10F. Chaloupka341112113E. Precek1831050
WJun 13 · 12:10F. Chaloupka491111610113E. Precek4247111282
LMar 28 · 14:15F. Chaloupka4611811882E. Precek45611611113
WMar 28 · 12:40F. Chaloupka4211911113E. Precek25211571
LMar 15 · 18:15F. Chaloupka51911131172E. Precek521161113113
LMar 15 · 15:10F. Chaloupka4387111162E. Precek44111192113
WMar 8 · 11:40F. Chaloupka4011117113E. Precek31471191
F. Chaloupka10
WSep 19 · 07:40F. Chaloupka1.611111113J. Travnicek2.208970WSep 19 · 06:40F. Chaloupka1.5781111113D. Vitasek2.25116891WSep 17 · 17:09B. Mrowetz1.678811121F. Chaloupka2.1011118143LSep 17 · 15:45F. Chaloupka1.73711212102B. Mrowetz2.001171110123WSep 17 · 14:45F. Chaloupka1.831111113T. Krenek1.836970WSep 17 · 13:45F. Chaloupka1.67111012113K. Kleprlik2.109121061LSep 16 · 16:44B. Mrowetz2.0010111011113F. Chaloupka1.7312912992LSep 16 · 15:45B. Moravec1.50871111113F. Chaloupka2.5011116882LSep 16 · 15:15D. Skulina1.91611114113F. Chaloupka1.8011871152LSep 16 · 14:15F. Chaloupka1.7311691162B. Mrowetz2.00911119113
E. Precek10
LSep 19 · 07:10E. Precek2.10814110J. Travnicek1.671116133WSep 18 · 08:44T. Kindl1.8361181152E. Precek1.83115116113LSep 18 · 07:40T. Kindl1.91138911113E. Precek1.80111111672LSep 18 · 07:10L. Kantor1.8351111123E. Precek1.831189101LSep 18 · 06:10E. Precek2.7569100R. Sedlacek1.401111123LSep 17 · 12:43E. Precek1.916880D. Pawlik1.801111113WSep 17 · 11:40E. Precek2.38314115113D. Pawlik1.53111291192LSep 17 · 10:40E. Precek1.80108100D. Jr1.911211123LSep 17 · 09:40E. Precek1.6761011141L. Kantor2.1011125163WSep 13 · 12:35J. Krupnik2.059911101E. Precek1.6811115123
Upcoming Matches
F. Chaloupka
E. Precek
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