TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13145244
Played Sep 17Finished
Frantisek Chaloupka
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119117––––
Tomas Krenek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Krenek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFrantisek Chaloupka above · Tomas Krenek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Tomas Krenek at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Chaloupka 13–15 Tomas Krenek Frantisek Chaloupka has won 13 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:26What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Krenek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-15 in 28
Krenek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chaloupka 1570 vs Krenek 1665
Krenek
Wrong
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chaloupka 20% vs Krenek 80%
Krenek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chaloupka 30% vs Krenek 60%
Krenek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chaloupka +1 · Krenek +3
Krenek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krenek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krenek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChaloupka 1.83 / Krenek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krenek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13145244
Chaloupka1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Krenek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChaloupka6wins
AwayKrenek4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderChaloupka leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChaloupka66.7%2 of 3
AwayKrenek42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chaloupka3Krenek7n = 10Krenek took 7 of 10
S2Chaloupka6Krenek4n = 10Chaloupka took 6 of 10
S3Chaloupka7Krenek3n = 10Chaloupka took 7 of 10
S4Chaloupka5Krenek4n = 9Chaloupka took 5 of 9
S5Chaloupka3Krenek2n = 5Chaloupka took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricChaloupkaKrenekC − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.840.1+1.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChaloupkaKrenekBasisWin rate · lifetime269 / 522 vs 468 / 92551.5%50.6%269 / 522 vs 468 / 925Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrenekChaloupka 1.83/Krenek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Krenek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Chaloupka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 09:10F. Chaloupka28471161T. Krenek3711114113
LSep 13 · 07:10F. Chaloupka361171171T. Krenek4313118113
LAug 24 · 13:13F. Chaloupka4511791262T. Krenek496111110113
WAug 24 · 11:40F. Chaloupka331111113T. Krenek259790
WAug 15 · 12:10F. Chaloupka3851111113T. Krenek28114491
WJul 11 · 13:15F. Chaloupka49711119113T. Krenek3711331192
WJul 11 · 11:15F. Chaloupka47127611113T. Krenek46101111592
WJul 8 · 14:10F. Chaloupka50911612123T. Krenek481161110102
LMay 4 · 15:15F. Chaloupka46911124102T. Krenek501161011123
WMay 2 · 15:40F. Chaloupka46101411113T. Krenek381212771
F. Chaloupka10
LSep 17 · 15:45F. Chaloupka1.73711212102B. Mrowetz2.001171110123WSep 17 · 13:45F. Chaloupka1.67111012113K. Kleprlik2.109121061LSep 16 · 16:44B. Mrowetz2.0010111011113F. Chaloupka1.7312912992LSep 16 · 15:45B. Moravec1.50871111113F. Chaloupka2.5011116882LSep 16 · 15:15D. Skulina1.91611114113F. Chaloupka1.8011871152LSep 16 · 14:15F. Chaloupka1.7311691162B. Mrowetz2.00911119113LSep 13 · 09:10T. Krenek2.1011114113F. Chaloupka1.65471161WSep 13 · 07:40J. Gembala1.67913591F. Chaloupka2.10111111113LSep 13 · 07:10T. Krenek1.9113118113F. Chaloupka1.801171171WSep 13 · 06:10F. Chaloupka1.831311510113J. Skalicky1.83117111282
T. Krenek10
WSep 17 · 14:15B. Mrowetz2.00511651T. Krenek1.7311911113WSep 17 · 13:15J. Skvrna1.801151210102T. Krenek1.919111012123WSep 17 · 12:15M. Macurak1.837111051T. Krenek1.8311212113LSep 17 · 11:15T. Krenek1.91671391J. Skvrna1.80111111113WSep 17 · 09:45J. Krupnik1.731491191T. Krenek2.0016117113LSep 15 · 13:10T. Krenek2.00113691J. Skvrna1.7381111113LSep 15 · 12:15T. Krenek1.8310780L. Slavik1.831211113WSep 15 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.737411111T. Krenek2.0011114133WSep 13 · 09:10T. Krenek2.1011114113F. Chaloupka1.65471161WSep 13 · 07:10T. Krenek1.9113118113F. Chaloupka1.801171171
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