TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13141434
Played Sep 16Finished
Bruno Mrowetz
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121191012119119
Frantisek Chaloupka
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingBruno Mrowetz above · Frantisek Chaloupka below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 104 set 5, 11-9
104 points played in total.
H2H Bruno Mrowetz 5–7 Frantisek Chaloupka Bruno Mrowetz has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Mrowetz beat Chaloupka 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chaloupka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chaloupka form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrowetz 2.00 / Chaloupka 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Chaloupka)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13141434
Mrowetz2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 60 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 42
Chaloupka1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 93 of 170
Up 2–0, closes it97% 61 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it76% 79 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMrowetz4wins
AwayChaloupka6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderChaloupka leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrowetz33.3%1 of 3
AwayChaloupka57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrowetz3Chaloupka7n = 10Chaloupka took 7 of 10
S2Mrowetz5Chaloupka5n = 10split evenly
S3Mrowetz4Chaloupka6n = 10Chaloupka took 6 of 10
S4Mrowetz2Chaloupka6n = 8Chaloupka took 6 of 8
S5Mrowetz3Chaloupka1n = 4Mrowetz took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMrowetzChaloupkaM − CBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.241.6−3.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrowetzChaloupkaBasisWin rate · lifetime245 / 491 vs 268 / 52049.9%51.5%245 / 491 vs 268 / 520Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChaloupkaMrowetz 2.00/Chaloupka 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Chaloupka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mrowetz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 14:15B. Mrowetz51911119113F. Chaloupka4311691162
WAug 26 · 15:15B. Mrowetz50111711113F. Chaloupka40919661
LAug 24 · 10:40B. Mrowetz27119521F. Chaloupka4181111113
LAug 16 · 13:20B. Mrowetz227960F. Chaloupka331111113
LAug 16 · 10:40B. Mrowetz49111194142F. Chaloupka48551111163
LAug 9 · 10:10B. Mrowetz34712781F. Chaloupka43111011113
WAug 2 · 10:15B. Mrowetz501211115113F. Chaloupka4414471182
LJul 5 · 16:45B. Mrowetz2054110F. Chaloupka351111133
WJul 5 · 13:40B. Mrowetz47711711113F. Chaloupka4911911992
LMay 19 · 16:35B. Mrowetz32681171F. Chaloupka4011117113
B. Mrowetz10
LSep 16 · 16:15B. Mrowetz2.00813110D. Skulina1.731115133LSep 16 · 14:45B. Moravec1.44117119113B. Mrowetz2.6351191172WSep 16 · 14:15F. Chaloupka1.7311691162B. Mrowetz2.00911119113LSep 15 · 16:45M. Macurak1.671111113B. Mrowetz2.107690LSep 15 · 16:15B. Mrowetz1.6112590D. Skulina2.201411113LSep 15 · 14:45B. Moravec1.501111113B. Mrowetz2.504960LSep 15 · 14:15M. Macurak1.7311118113B. Mrowetz2.00691191LSep 10 · 13:20B. Mrowetz1.73117891L. Slavik2.0091111113LSep 10 · 11:45B. Mrowetz2.0011118682J. Skvrna1.73731111113WSep 10 · 10:45B. Mrowetz1.6711811113T. Grmela2.10611541
F. Chaloupka10
LSep 16 · 15:45B. Moravec1.50871111113F. Chaloupka2.5011116882LSep 16 · 15:15D. Skulina1.91611114113F. Chaloupka1.8011871152LSep 16 · 14:15F. Chaloupka1.7311691162B. Mrowetz2.00911119113LSep 13 · 09:10T. Krenek2.1011114113F. Chaloupka1.65471161WSep 13 · 07:40J. Gembala1.67913591F. Chaloupka2.10111111113LSep 13 · 07:10T. Krenek1.9113118113F. Chaloupka1.801171171WSep 13 · 06:10F. Chaloupka1.831311510113J. Skalicky1.83117111282LSep 12 · 08:40F. Chaloupka1.919970J. Skalicky1.801111113WSep 12 · 08:10J. Skalicky1.80591161F. Chaloupka1.9111118113LSep 12 · 07:10F. Chaloupka2.3861191162A. Vitasek1.53117117113
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