TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13145436
Played Sep 17Finished
Frantisek Chaloupka
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11910121210116––
Kamil Kleprlik
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:23 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Chaloupka to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Chaloupka above · Kamil Kleprlik below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 81 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Frantisek Chaloupka at 55.8%
81 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Chaloupka 35–33 Kamil Kleprlik Kamil Kleprlik has won 33 of their 68 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:23What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Chaloupka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-33 in 68
Chaloupka
Correct
gap of 2 in 68, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chaloupka 1557 vs Kleprlik 1584
Kleprlik
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chaloupka 0% vs Kleprlik 40%
Kleprlik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chaloupka 30% vs Kleprlik 50%
Kleprlik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chaloupka -5 · Kleprlik +1
Chaloupka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Chaloupka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chaloupka form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChaloupka 1.67 / Kleprlik 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Chaloupka)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13145436
Chaloupka1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 93 of 171
Up 2–0, closes it97% 61 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it75% 79 of 106
Kleprlik2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog49% won 68 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back27% 21 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChaloupka5wins
AwayKleprlik5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChaloupka100%4 of 4
AwayKleprlik83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chaloupka4Kleprlik6n = 10Kleprlik took 6 of 10
S2Chaloupka7Kleprlik3n = 10Chaloupka took 7 of 10
S3Chaloupka4Kleprlik6n = 10Kleprlik took 6 of 10
S4Chaloupka3Kleprlik7n = 10Kleprlik took 7 of 10
S5Chaloupka3Kleprlik1n = 4Chaloupka took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricChaloupkaKleprlikC − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.942.9−1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChaloupkaKleprlikBasisWin rate · lifetime268 / 521 vs 249 / 50551.4%49.3%268 / 521 vs 249 / 505Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChaloupkaChaloupka 1.67/Kleprlik 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Chaloupka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chaloupka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 18:15F. Chaloupka33611971K. Kleprlik4211911113
LSep 4 · 16:39F. Chaloupka395131291K. Kleprlik47111114113
WSep 4 · 13:45F. Chaloupka48111169113K. Kleprlik4139111172
WAug 12 · 16:10F. Chaloupka45118411113K. Kleprlik4991111992
LAug 9 · 16:45F. Chaloupka36811981K. Kleprlik4211911113
WAug 9 · 16:10F. Chaloupka4211911113K. Kleprlik29711471
WAug 8 · 08:43F. Chaloupka4111118113K. Kleprlik34861191
LAug 8 · 05:40F. Chaloupka3941213101K. Kleprlik48111411123
WAug 7 · 13:40F. Chaloupka53811158113K. Kleprlik49116131182
LAug 5 · 13:45F. Chaloupka4351111792K. Kleprlik48118711113
F. Chaloupka10
WSep 17 · 14:45F. Chaloupka1.831111113T. Krenek1.836970LSep 16 · 16:44B. Mrowetz2.0010111011113F. Chaloupka1.7312912992LSep 16 · 15:45B. Moravec1.50871111113F. Chaloupka2.5011116882LSep 16 · 15:15D. Skulina1.91611114113F. Chaloupka1.8011871152LSep 16 · 14:15F. Chaloupka1.7311691162B. Mrowetz2.00911119113LSep 13 · 09:10T. Krenek2.1011114113F. Chaloupka1.65471161WSep 13 · 07:40J. Gembala1.67913591F. Chaloupka2.10111111113LSep 13 · 07:10T. Krenek1.9113118113F. Chaloupka1.801171171WSep 13 · 06:10F. Chaloupka1.831311510113J. Skalicky1.83117111282LSep 12 · 08:40F. Chaloupka1.919970J. Skalicky1.801111113
K. Kleprlik10
WSep 11 · 20:49I. Heuman1.67561161K. Kleprlik2.1011119113LSep 11 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.807111081I. Heuman1.9111812113LSep 11 · 18:45D. Skulina1.57111211113K. Kleprlik2.25814641WSep 11 · 18:15F. Chaloupka1.67611971K. Kleprlik2.1011911113LSep 5 · 20:58K. Kleprlik1.53118581A. Cizek2.3871111113WSep 5 · 19:45K. Kleprlik1.611111113A. Cizek2.208670WSep 5 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.53111176133T. Lysek2.38571111112LSep 5 · 17:45K. Kleprlik2.006131291I. Heuman1.73111114113LSep 4 · 21:10D. Skulina1.5761111153K. Kleprlik2.251177131WSep 4 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.671111113J. Travnicek2.108590
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