TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13145257
Played Sep 17Finished
Bruno Mrowetz
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511119611511––
Tomas Krenek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:35 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeTomas Krenek to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBruno Mrowetz above · Tomas Krenek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 69 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Tomas Krenek at 54.5%
69 points played in total.
H2H Bruno Mrowetz 18–22 Tomas Krenek Bruno Mrowetz has won 18 of their 40 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:35What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Krenek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-22 in 40
Krenek
Correct
gap of 4 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrowetz 1622 vs Krenek 1645
Krenek
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrowetz 40% vs Krenek 60%
Krenek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrowetz 20% vs Krenek 60%
Krenek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrowetz +1 · Krenek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Krenek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrowetz 2.00 / Krenek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Krenek)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13145257
Mrowetz2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 62 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back21% 16 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 43
Krenek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 113 of 204
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it75% 77 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMrowetz3wins
AwayKrenek7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKrenek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrowetz25%1 of 4
AwayKrenek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrowetz4Krenek6n = 10Krenek took 6 of 10
S2Mrowetz3Krenek7n = 10Krenek took 7 of 10
S3Mrowetz5Krenek5n = 10split evenly
S4Mrowetz4Krenek4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMrowetzKrenekM − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.042.7−2.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrowetzKrenekBasisWin rate · lifetime246 / 492 vs 467 / 92450%50.5%246 / 492 vs 467 / 924Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrenekMrowetz 2.00/Krenek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Krenek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krenek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 05:45B. Mrowetz44111111113T. Krenek34613781
LSep 2 · 11:15B. Mrowetz3651011101T. Krenek4311128123
LAug 25 · 12:38B. Mrowetz59121182082T. Krenek591051122113
LAug 25 · 11:10B. Mrowetz195680T. Krenek331111113
LAug 24 · 10:10B. Mrowetz4814101771T. Krenek54121219113
LAug 12 · 10:40B. Mrowetz355911101T. Krenek4111117123
WAug 10 · 09:40B. Mrowetz43101111113T. Krenek39129991
WAug 8 · 15:45B. Mrowetz51141113133T. Krenek4616811111
LJul 21 · 11:10B. Mrowetz2459100T. Krenek341111123
LJul 15 · 12:10B. Mrowetz4111571172T. Krenek44711114113
B. Mrowetz10
WSep 17 · 15:45F. Chaloupka1.73711212102B. Mrowetz2.001171110123WSep 17 · 15:15K. Kleprlik2.0071181192B. Mrowetz1.73119116113WSep 16 · 16:44B. Mrowetz2.0010111011113F. Chaloupka1.7312912992LSep 16 · 16:15B. Mrowetz2.00813110D. Skulina1.731115133LSep 16 · 14:45B. Moravec1.44117119113B. Mrowetz2.6351191172WSep 16 · 14:15F. Chaloupka1.7311691162B. Mrowetz2.00911119113LSep 15 · 16:45M. Macurak1.671111113B. Mrowetz2.107690LSep 15 · 16:15B. Mrowetz1.6112590D. Skulina2.201411113LSep 15 · 14:45B. Moravec1.501111113B. Mrowetz2.504960LSep 15 · 14:15M. Macurak1.7311118113B. Mrowetz2.00691191
T. Krenek10
LSep 17 · 14:45F. Chaloupka1.831111113T. Krenek1.836970WSep 17 · 13:15J. Skvrna1.801151210102T. Krenek1.919111012123WSep 17 · 12:15M. Macurak1.837111051T. Krenek1.8311212113LSep 17 · 11:15T. Krenek1.91671391J. Skvrna1.80111111113WSep 17 · 09:45J. Krupnik1.731491191T. Krenek2.0016117113LSep 15 · 13:10T. Krenek2.00113691J. Skvrna1.7381111113LSep 15 · 12:15T. Krenek1.8310780L. Slavik1.831211113WSep 15 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.737411111T. Krenek2.0011114133WSep 15 · 10:15T. Grmela2.25811111252T. Krenek1.57117814113LSep 15 · 09:13T. Krenek1.733119121T. Grmela2.0011711143
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