TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13145239
Played Sep 17Finished
Kamil Kleprlik
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711119811116911
Bruno Mrowetz
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBruno Mrowetz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKamil Kleprlik above · Bruno Mrowetz below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 94 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Bruno Mrowetz at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Kleprlik 5–3 Bruno Mrowetz Bruno Mrowetz has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:25What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Mrowetz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Kleprlik
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kleprlik 1572 vs Mrowetz 1602
Mrowetz
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kleprlik 40% vs Mrowetz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kleprlik 40% vs Mrowetz 20%
Kleprlik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kleprlik -1 · Mrowetz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mrowetz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mrowetz form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKleprlik 2.00 / Mrowetz 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mrowetz)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13145239
Kleprlik2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 68 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back27% 21 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 37
Mrowetz1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite60% won 70 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it97% 37 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it79% 52 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKleprlik5wins
AwayMrowetz3wins
2 of 8 to a deciderKleprlik leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKleprlik80%4 of 5
AwayMrowetz66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kleprlik5Mrowetz3n = 8Kleprlik took 5 of 8
S2Kleprlik3Mrowetz5n = 8Mrowetz took 5 of 8
S3Kleprlik5Mrowetz3n = 8Kleprlik took 5 of 8
S4Kleprlik3Mrowetz0n = 3Kleprlik took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home338%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricKleprlikMrowetzK − MBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match36.533.2+3.3per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKleprlikMrowetzBasisWin rate · lifetime249 / 506 vs 246 / 49349.2%49.9%249 / 506 vs 246 / 493Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MrowetzKleprlik 2.00/Mrowetz 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mrowetz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mrowetz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 22 · 12:44K. Kleprlik43111011113B. Mrowetz30812641
LAug 22 · 10:45K. Kleprlik2761290B. Mrowetz361114113
LJun 28 · 12:40K. Kleprlik4311971152B. Mrowetz48611119113
WJun 28 · 10:10K. Kleprlik331111113B. Mrowetz218580
WJun 15 · 16:40K. Kleprlik46671111113B. Mrowetz4211119742
WJun 15 · 13:40K. Kleprlik391511133B. Mrowetz32138110
LApr 26 · 06:15K. Kleprlik2641390B. Mrowetz371115113
WDec 4 · 13:15K. Kleprlik351113113B. Mrowetz2041150
K. Kleprlik10
LSep 17 · 16:44K. Kleprlik1.441181491T. Krenek2.6361116113WSep 17 · 16:15T. Krenek1.534890K. Kleprlik2.381111113LSep 17 · 13:45F. Chaloupka1.67111012113K. Kleprlik2.109121061WSep 11 · 20:49I. Heuman1.67561161K. Kleprlik2.1011119113LSep 11 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.807111081I. Heuman1.9111812113LSep 11 · 18:45D. Skulina1.57111211113K. Kleprlik2.25814641WSep 11 · 18:15F. Chaloupka1.67611971K. Kleprlik2.1011911113LSep 5 · 20:58K. Kleprlik1.53118581A. Cizek2.3871111113WSep 5 · 19:45K. Kleprlik1.611111113A. Cizek2.208670WSep 5 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.53111176133T. Lysek2.38571111112
B. Mrowetz10
WSep 17 · 15:45F. Chaloupka1.73711212102B. Mrowetz2.001171110123LSep 17 · 14:15B. Mrowetz2.00511651T. Krenek1.7311911113WSep 16 · 16:44B. Mrowetz2.0010111011113F. Chaloupka1.7312912992LSep 16 · 16:15B. Mrowetz2.00813110D. Skulina1.731115133LSep 16 · 14:45B. Moravec1.44117119113B. Mrowetz2.6351191172WSep 16 · 14:15F. Chaloupka1.7311691162B. Mrowetz2.00911119113LSep 15 · 16:45M. Macurak1.671111113B. Mrowetz2.107690LSep 15 · 16:15B. Mrowetz1.6112590D. Skulina2.201411113LSep 15 · 14:45B. Moravec1.501111113B. Mrowetz2.504960LSep 15 · 14:15M. Macurak1.7311118113B. Mrowetz2.00691191
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.