TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13147652
Played Sep 17Finished
Kamil Kleprlik
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1168111416911––
Tomas Krenek
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingKamil Kleprlik above · Tomas Krenek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 14-16
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 86 set 4, 9-11
86 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Kleprlik 11–14 Tomas Krenek Kamil Kleprlik has won 11 of their 25 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Kleprlik beat Krenek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Kleprlik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krenek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKleprlik 1.44 / Krenek 2.63
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Kleprlik)-2.4pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13147652
Kleprlik1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite51% won 46 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it69% 31 of 45
Krenek2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog55% won 100 of 182
Down 0–1, comes back40% 38 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKleprlik5wins
AwayKrenek5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKleprlik80%4 of 5
AwayKrenek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kleprlik5Krenek5n = 10split evenly
S2Kleprlik5Krenek5n = 10split evenly
S3Kleprlik5Krenek5n = 10split evenly
S4Kleprlik3Krenek2n = 5Kleprlik took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKleprlikKrenekKleprlik − KrenekBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.135.4−1.3per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKleprlikKrenekBasisWin rate · lifetime250 / 508 vs 468 / 92749.2%50.5%250 / 508 vs 468 / 927Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KleprlikKleprlik 1.44/Krenek 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.1%
Kleprlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krenek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 16:15K. Kleprlik331111113T. Krenek214890
LAug 27 · 15:15K. Kleprlik207760T. Krenek331111113
LAug 18 · 15:10K. Kleprlik2341180T. Krenek351113113
LAug 16 · 17:17K. Kleprlik4083111172T. Krenek47111177113
LAug 16 · 15:15K. Kleprlik321291011T. Krenek44101112113
WJul 22 · 15:10K. Kleprlik351311113T. Krenek2711880
LJul 19 · 16:10K. Kleprlik4112117111T. Krenek4414611133
WJul 1 · 14:15K. Kleprlik43115511113T. Krenek4481111772
WMay 19 · 15:15K. Kleprlik351113113T. Krenek2681170
WApr 21 · 15:15K. Kleprlik3961111113T. Krenek33117871
K. Kleprlik10
WSep 17 · 16:15T. Krenek1.534890K. Kleprlik2.381111113LSep 17 · 15:15K. Kleprlik2.0071181192B. Mrowetz1.73119116113LSep 17 · 13:45F. Chaloupka1.67111012113K. Kleprlik2.109121061WSep 11 · 20:49I. Heuman1.67561161K. Kleprlik2.1011119113LSep 11 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.807111081I. Heuman1.9111812113LSep 11 · 18:45D. Skulina1.57111211113K. Kleprlik2.25814641WSep 11 · 18:15F. Chaloupka1.67611971K. Kleprlik2.1011911113LSep 5 · 20:58K. Kleprlik1.53118581A. Cizek2.3871111113WSep 5 · 19:45K. Kleprlik1.611111113A. Cizek2.208670WSep 5 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.53111176133T. Lysek2.38571111112
T. Krenek10
LSep 17 · 16:15T. Krenek1.534890K. Kleprlik2.381111113LSep 17 · 14:45F. Chaloupka1.831111113T. Krenek1.836970WSep 17 · 14:15B. Mrowetz2.00511651T. Krenek1.7311911113WSep 17 · 13:15J. Skvrna1.801151210102T. Krenek1.919111012123WSep 17 · 12:15M. Macurak1.837111051T. Krenek1.8311212113LSep 17 · 11:15T. Krenek1.91671391J. Skvrna1.80111111113WSep 17 · 09:45J. Krupnik1.731491191T. Krenek2.0016117113LSep 15 · 13:10T. Krenek2.00113691J. Skvrna1.7381111113LSep 15 · 12:15T. Krenek1.8310780L. Slavik1.831211113WSep 15 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.737411111T. Krenek2.0011114133
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