TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13145271
Played Sep 17Finished
Tomas Krenek
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411811911––––
Kamil Kleprlik
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:34 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeTomas Krenek to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Krenek above · Kamil Kleprlik below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 54 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Tomas Krenek at 64.9%
54 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Krenek 14–10 Kamil Kleprlik Kamil Kleprlik has won 10 of their 24 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:34What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Krenek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-10 in 24
Krenek
Wrong
gap of 4 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krenek 1635 vs Kleprlik 1553
Krenek
Wrong
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krenek 60% vs Kleprlik 20%
Krenek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krenek 60% vs Kleprlik 40%
Krenek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krenek -1 · Kleprlik -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Krenek) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kleprlik form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrenek 1.53 / Kleprlik 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Krenek)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13145271
Krenek1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 113 of 204
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it75% 77 of 103
Kleprlik2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 68 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back27% 21 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrenek5wins
AwayKleprlik5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrenek80%4 of 5
AwayKleprlik80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krenek5Kleprlik5n = 10split evenly
S2Krenek5Kleprlik5n = 10split evenly
S3Krenek6Kleprlik4n = 10Krenek took 6 of 10
S4Krenek3Kleprlik3n = 6split evenly
S5Krenek1Kleprlik2n = 3Kleprlik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrenekKleprlikKrenek − KleprlikBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.035.5+2.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrenekKleprlikBasisWin rate · lifetime468 / 926 vs 249 / 50750.5%49.1%468 / 926 vs 249 / 507Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrenekKrenek 1.53/Kleprlik 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62%
Krenek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kleprlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 15:15T. Krenek331111113K. Kleprlik207760
WAug 18 · 15:10T. Krenek351113113K. Kleprlik2341180
WAug 16 · 17:17T. Krenek47111177113K. Kleprlik4083111172
WAug 16 · 15:15T. Krenek44101112113K. Kleprlik321291011
LJul 22 · 15:10T. Krenek2711880K. Kleprlik351311113
WJul 19 · 16:10T. Krenek4414611133K. Kleprlik4112117111
LJul 1 · 14:15T. Krenek4481111772K. Kleprlik43115511113
LMay 19 · 15:15T. Krenek2681170K. Kleprlik351113113
LApr 21 · 15:15T. Krenek33117871K. Kleprlik3961111113
LMar 6 · 15:45T. Krenek4779111192K. Kleprlik47111177113
T. Krenek10
WSep 17 · 16:44K. Kleprlik1.441181491T. Krenek2.6361116113LSep 17 · 14:45F. Chaloupka1.831111113T. Krenek1.836970WSep 17 · 14:15B. Mrowetz2.00511651T. Krenek1.7311911113WSep 17 · 13:15J. Skvrna1.801151210102T. Krenek1.919111012123WSep 17 · 12:15M. Macurak1.837111051T. Krenek1.8311212113LSep 17 · 11:15T. Krenek1.91671391J. Skvrna1.80111111113WSep 17 · 09:45J. Krupnik1.731491191T. Krenek2.0016117113LSep 15 · 13:10T. Krenek2.00113691J. Skvrna1.7381111113LSep 15 · 12:15T. Krenek1.8310780L. Slavik1.831211113WSep 15 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.737411111T. Krenek2.0011114133
K. Kleprlik10
LSep 17 · 16:44K. Kleprlik1.441181491T. Krenek2.6361116113LSep 17 · 15:15K. Kleprlik2.0071181192B. Mrowetz1.73119116113LSep 17 · 13:45F. Chaloupka1.67111012113K. Kleprlik2.109121061WSep 11 · 20:49I. Heuman1.67561161K. Kleprlik2.1011119113LSep 11 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.807111081I. Heuman1.9111812113LSep 11 · 18:45D. Skulina1.57111211113K. Kleprlik2.25814641WSep 11 · 18:15F. Chaloupka1.67611971K. Kleprlik2.1011911113LSep 5 · 20:58K. Kleprlik1.53118581A. Cizek2.3871111113WSep 5 · 19:45K. Kleprlik1.611111113A. Cizek2.208670WSep 5 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.53111176133T. Lysek2.38571111112
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