TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13156754
Played Sep 19Finished
Erik Precek
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
81114161113––––
Jakub Travnicek
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:40 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeJakub Travnicek to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingErik Precek above · Jakub Travnicek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 14-16
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 73 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Jakub Travnicek at 57.1%
73 points played in total.
H2H Erik Precek 2–4 Jakub Travnicek Erik Precek has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:40What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Travnicek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Travnicek
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Precek 1518 vs Travnicek 1609
Travnicek
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Precek 20% vs Travnicek 80%
Travnicek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Precek 30% vs Travnicek 60%
Travnicek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Precek -1 · Travnicek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Travnicek) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Travnicek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrecek 2.10 / Travnicek 1.67
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Travnicek)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13156754
Precek2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 57 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back23% 18 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 47
Travnicek1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite42% won 31 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it69% 24 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomePrecek2wins
AwayTravnicek4wins
1 of 6 to a deciderTravnicek leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrecekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayTravnicek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Precek2Travnicek4n = 6Travnicek took 4 of 6
S2Precek3Travnicek3n = 6split evenly
S3Precek2Travnicek4n = 6Travnicek took 4 of 6
S4Precek3Travnicek2n = 5Precek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricPrecekTravnicekP − TBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match39.241.7−2.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrecekTravnicekBasisWin rate · lifetime219 / 471 vs 211 / 42246.5%50%219 / 471 vs 211 / 422Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TravnicekPrecek 2.10/Travnicek 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.2%
Travnicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Travnicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 19 · 07:10E. Precek33814110J. Travnicek401116133
LAug 9 · 11:45E. Precek4411212101J. Travnicek55131911123
LApr 30 · 18:15E. Precek4797111192J. Travnicek49111197113
WMar 28 · 16:10E. Precek4011117113J. Travnicek32671181
LMar 11 · 18:45E. Precek32691251J. Travnicek43111110113
WMar 7 · 12:45E. Precek3911116113J. Travnicek31871151
E. Precek10
LSep 19 · 05:40F. Chaloupka1.53111197113E. Precek2.3859111192WSep 18 · 08:44T. Kindl1.8361181152E. Precek1.83115116113LSep 18 · 07:40T. Kindl1.91138911113E. Precek1.80111111672LSep 18 · 07:10L. Kantor1.8351111123E. Precek1.831189101LSep 18 · 06:10E. Precek2.7569100R. Sedlacek1.401111123LSep 17 · 12:43E. Precek1.916880D. Pawlik1.801111113WSep 17 · 11:40E. Precek2.38314115113D. Pawlik1.53111291192LSep 17 · 10:40E. Precek1.80108100D. Jr1.911211123LSep 17 · 09:40E. Precek1.6761011141L. Kantor2.1011125163WSep 13 · 12:35J. Krupnik2.059911101E. Precek1.6811115123
J. Travnicek10
LSep 19 · 07:40F. Chaloupka1.611111113J. Travnicek2.208970WSep 19 · 06:10J. Travnicek2.7512111110113D. Vitasek1.40105131272WSep 18 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.911211113A. Kanak1.8010680LSep 18 · 19:40J. Travnicek2.10711110K. Kleprlik1.671113133WSep 18 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.831011116123A. Kanak1.83125811102WSep 18 · 17:40J. Travnicek1.831112113D. Jr1.8371090LSep 15 · 21:08D. Stusek1.7311811113J. Travnicek2.00711271LSep 15 · 19:40J. Travnicek1.83961171D. Stusek1.8311116113WSep 15 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.91991111113A. Kanak1.8011117872WSep 15 · 17:40J. Travnicek1.67124912113I. Heuman2.101011111092
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