TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13134417
Played Sep 15Finished
Jakub Travnicek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911611116711––
David Stusek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Travnicek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Travnicek above · David Stusek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 72 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Jakub Travnicek at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Travnicek 6–5 David Stusek David Stusek has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Stusek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Travnicek 1630 vs Stusek 1587
Travnicek
Wrong
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Travnicek 60% vs Stusek 40%
Travnicek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Travnicek 60% vs Stusek 40%
Travnicek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Travnicek +2 · Stusek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Travnicek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stusek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTravnicek 1.83 / Stusek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Travnicek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13134417
Travnicek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Stusek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTravnicek5wins
AwayStusek5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTravnicek80%4 of 5
AwayStusek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Travnicek5Stusek5n = 10split evenly
S2Travnicek6Stusek4n = 10Travnicek took 6 of 10
S3Travnicek4Stusek6n = 10Stusek took 6 of 10
S4Travnicek3Stusek6n = 9Stusek took 6 of 9
S5Travnicek3Stusek1n = 4Travnicek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTravnicekStusekT − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.942.1−0.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTravnicekStusekBasisWin rate · lifetime206 / 415 vs 90 / 18349.6%49.2%206 / 415 vs 90 / 183Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.840.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TravnicekTravnicek 1.83/Stusek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Travnicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stusek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 31 · 21:08J. Travnicek4011121251D. Stusek48131410113
WJul 31 · 17:40J. Travnicek4281111123D. Stusek301136101
LMay 8 · 18:10J. Travnicek36118981D. Stusek4071111113
WMar 13 · 18:45J. Travnicek44111163133D. Stusek48691111112
WFeb 19 · 20:10J. Travnicek51148711113D. Stusek51121111892
WJan 20 · 22:25J. Travnicek55151198123D. Stusek481331111102
LJan 17 · 22:19J. Travnicek4761371472D. Stusek5611111112113
WJan 17 · 19:40J. Travnicek371111153D. Stusek2539130
LDec 11 · 19:45J. Travnicek35891171D. Stusek3511112113
LDec 10 · 22:20J. Travnicek32711681D. Stusek4011711113
J. Travnicek10
WSep 15 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.91991111113A. Kanak1.8011117872WSep 15 · 17:40J. Travnicek1.67124912113I. Heuman2.101011111092LSep 14 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.8311780A. Kanak1.831311113LSep 14 · 19:40J. Travnicek2.00211591D. Vitasek1.7311311113WSep 14 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.83117711113A. Kanak1.8391111892LSep 14 · 17:40J. Travnicek1.61991291I. Heuman2.20111110113WSep 10 · 21:18A. Kanak1.83118111292J. Travnicek1.831311810113WSep 10 · 19:45J. Travnicek1.67911116113I. Heuman2.1011531162LSep 10 · 18:45J. Travnicek1.73411881A. Kanak2.0011811113WSep 10 · 17:45J. Travnicek1.6712114143P. Marsalek2.1010511121
D. Stusek10
WSep 15 · 19:10I. Heuman2.2010760D. Stusek1.611211113LSep 15 · 18:10D. Stusek1.80117691A. Kanak1.9141111113LSep 6 · 09:25J. Gembala1.611111113D. Stusek2.206970WSep 6 · 08:10F. Chaloupka1.911111711112D. Stusek1.80913119133LSep 6 · 07:10D. Stusek2.381210961J. Gembala1.53101211113WSep 6 · 05:40B. Moravec1.806950D. Stusek1.911111113LAug 26 · 17:03D. Stusek3.008760F. Chaloupka1.361111113WAug 26 · 16:15D. Stusek2.25121147113B. Mrowetz1.57109111182LAug 26 · 14:45J. Gembala1.831111113D. Stusek1.837860LAug 26 · 14:15F. Chaloupka1.831111159133D. Stusek1.83781711112
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