TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13128623
Played Sep 14Finished
Jakub Travnicek
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9119111210911––
Ivan Heuman
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:01 and never touched — 59.1% is still 59.1%
Graded at full timeJakub Travnicek to win
59.1%
59.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Travnicek above · Ivan Heuman below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 82 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Jakub Travnicek at 59.1%
82 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Travnicek 19–16 Ivan Heuman Ivan Heuman has won 16 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:01What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Travnicek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-16 in 35
Travnicek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Travnicek 1628 vs Heuman 1546
Travnicek
Wrong
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Travnicek 60% vs Heuman 20%
Travnicek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Travnicek 60% vs Heuman 40%
Travnicek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Travnicek +2 · Heuman -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Travnicek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heuman form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTravnicek 1.61 / Heuman 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Travnicek)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13128623
Travnicek1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite43% won 31 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it69% 24 of 35
Heuman2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog46% won 53 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back33% 17 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTravnicek7wins
AwayHeuman3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTravnicek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTravnicek85.7%6 of 7
AwayHeuman66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Travnicek7Heuman3n = 10Travnicek took 7 of 10
S2Travnicek4Heuman6n = 10Heuman took 6 of 10
S3Travnicek6Heuman4n = 10Travnicek took 6 of 10
S4Travnicek4Heuman3n = 7Travnicek took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTravnicekHeumanT − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.136.4+2.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTravnicekHeumanBasisWin rate · lifetime203 / 409 vs 201 / 41349.6%48.7%203 / 409 vs 201 / 413Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TravnicekTravnicek 1.61/Heuman 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Travnicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Heuman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 19:45J. Travnicek48911116113I. Heuman3611531162
WSep 4 · 20:38J. Travnicek351111133I. Heuman2999110
WSep 4 · 17:45J. Travnicek3911611113I. Heuman34811961
LSep 2 · 21:20J. Travnicek2361070I. Heuman341112113
WSep 2 · 20:15J. Travnicek4111711123I. Heuman333119101
WAug 28 · 19:15J. Travnicek4211128113I. Heuman335101171
LAug 25 · 19:10J. Travnicek32115881I. Heuman4071111113
WAug 24 · 18:10J. Travnicek541210912113I. Heuman511012111082
WAug 21 · 21:10J. Travnicek341112113I. Heuman2571080
LAug 21 · 17:40J. Travnicek431771181I. Heuman4919118113
J. Travnicek10
WSep 14 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.83117711113A. Kanak1.8391111892WSep 10 · 21:18A. Kanak1.83118111292J. Travnicek1.831311810113WSep 10 · 19:45J. Travnicek1.67911116113I. Heuman2.1011531162LSep 10 · 18:45J. Travnicek1.73411881A. Kanak2.0011811113WSep 10 · 17:45J. Travnicek1.6712114143P. Marsalek2.1010511121LSep 7 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.8324130D. Skulina1.831111153WSep 7 · 20:15J. Travnicek1.8011911113R. Sedlacek1.91611651WSep 7 · 18:45D. Skulina1.735970J. Travnicek2.001111113LSep 7 · 18:15J. Krupnik1.73915115113J. Travnicek2.00111391162LSep 6 · 21:20M. Macurak1.7041111113J. Travnicek1.96114991
I. Heuman10
LSep 12 · 20:39I. Heuman1.55114591J. Palat2.3041111113LSep 12 · 20:10I. Heuman1.61511751P. Marsalek2.2011611113WSep 12 · 18:40J. Palat2.20661161I. Heuman1.6111117113LSep 12 · 18:10D. Vitasek1.831311113143I. Heuman1.83157711122LSep 12 · 17:20I. Heuman1.91119381E. Precek1.8071111113WSep 12 · 16:10I. Heuman2.101111119113E. Precek1.6759131182LSep 12 · 14:40D. Skulina1.6712141111113I. Heuman2.1014169932WSep 12 · 14:10D. Vitasek1.8341151142I. Heuman1.83118114113LSep 11 · 20:49I. Heuman1.67561161K. Kleprlik2.1011119113LSep 10 · 19:45J. Travnicek1.67911116113I. Heuman2.1011531162
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