TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13121776
Played Sep 12Finished
Ivan Heuman
Home
1.55
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
114411511911––
Jiri Palat
Away
2.30
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingIvan Heuman above · Jiri Palat below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 66 set 4, 9-11
66 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Heuman 2–0 Jiri Palat Jiri Palat has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Heuman beat Palat 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Heuman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Palat form (20%) is below what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeuman 1.55 / Palat 2.30
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Heuman)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #13121776
Heuman1.55
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite46% won 50 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it69% 37 of 54
Palat2.30
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHeuman2wins
AwayPalat0wins
Heuman leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricHeumanPalatH − PBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match37.528.0+9.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeumanPalatBasisWin rate · lifetime201 / 412 vs 22 / 4848.8%45.8%201 / 412 vs 22 / 48Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.636.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeumanHeuman 1.55/Palat 2.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Heuman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Palat won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 12 · 18:40I. Heuman4011117113J. Palat29661161
WMay 9 · 20:15I. Heuman351111133J. Palat2788110
I. Heuman10
LSep 12 · 20:10I. Heuman1.61511751P. Marsalek2.2011611113WSep 12 · 18:40J. Palat2.20661161I. Heuman1.6111117113LSep 12 · 18:10D. Vitasek1.831311113143I. Heuman1.83157711122LSep 12 · 17:20I. Heuman1.91119381E. Precek1.8071111113WSep 12 · 16:10I. Heuman2.101111119113E. Precek1.6759131182LSep 12 · 14:40D. Skulina1.6712141111113I. Heuman2.1014169932WSep 12 · 14:10D. Vitasek1.8341151142I. Heuman1.83118114113LSep 11 · 20:49I. Heuman1.67561161K. Kleprlik2.1011119113WSep 11 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.807111081I. Heuman1.9111812113LSep 11 · 19:15I. Heuman2.0051121132F. Chaloupka1.73116117113
J. Palat10
LSep 12 · 19:40J. Palat2.20611111072D. Vitasek1.61118412113LSep 12 · 18:40J. Palat2.20661161I. Heuman1.6111117113LSep 12 · 17:40J. Palat1.83311971P. Marsalek1.8311711113LAug 15 · 08:39J. Palat1.83912481T. Krenek1.83111011113WAug 15 · 08:10T. Krenek1.67106130J. Palat2.101211153LAug 15 · 07:10J. Palat2.2561111962J. Skalicky1.57114311113LAug 15 · 05:40B. Moravec1.5371111113J. Palat2.38114431LMay 9 · 21:15J. Palat—10770F. Chaloupka—1211113LMay 9 · 20:15J. Palat—88110I. Heuman—1111133WMay 9 · 18:45F. Chaloupka1.611081191J. Palat2.0912113113
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