TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12435875
Played Aug 15Finished
Jiri Palat
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611114113911611
Jiri Skalicky
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:32 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeJiri Skalicky to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Palat above · Jiri Skalicky below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 83 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Jiri Skalicky at 58.9%
83 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Palat 1–3 Jiri Skalicky Jiri Palat has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:32What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Skalicky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Skalicky
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Palat 1604 vs Skalicky 1614
Skalicky
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Palat 40% vs Skalicky 60%
Skalicky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Palat 50% vs Skalicky 70%
Skalicky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Palat -3 · Skalicky +1
Palat
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Skalicky)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPalat 2.25 / Skalicky 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Skalicky)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #12435875
Palat2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 5 of 11
Down 0–1, comes back20% 1 of 5
Skalicky1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 38 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it73% 22 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomePalat1wins
AwaySkalicky3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderSkalicky leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePalat33.3%1 of 3
AwaySkalickyn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Palat3Skalicky1n = 4Palat took 3 of 4
S2Palat1Skalicky3n = 4Skalicky took 3 of 4
S3Palat2Skalicky2n = 4split evenly
S4Palat1Skalicky3n = 4Skalicky took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricPalatSkalickyP − SBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match39.540.2−0.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPalatSkalickyBasisWin rate · lifetime21 / 41 vs 91 / 17851.2%51.1%21 / 41 vs 91 / 178Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.439.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkalickyPalat 2.25/Skalicky 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Skalicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skalicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 15 · 07:10J. Palat4361111962J. Skalicky40114311113
WMar 14 · 20:40J. Palat45111013113J. Skalicky386121191
LDec 13 · 21:50J. Palat35119871J. Skalicky4291111113
LDec 13 · 21:10J. Palat351181151J. Skalicky4161113113
J. Palat10
LSep 12 · 18:40J. Palat2.20661161I. Heuman1.6111117113LSep 12 · 17:40J. Palat1.83311971P. Marsalek1.8311711113LAug 15 · 08:39J. Palat1.83912481T. Krenek1.83111011113WAug 15 · 08:10T. Krenek1.67106130J. Palat2.101211153LAug 15 · 05:40B. Moravec1.5371111113J. Palat2.38114431LMay 9 · 21:15J. Palat—10770F. Chaloupka—1211113LMay 9 · 20:15J. Palat—88110I. Heuman—1111133WMay 9 · 18:45F. Chaloupka1.611081191J. Palat2.0912113113WMay 9 · 18:15J. Travnicek—11911792J. Palat—511711113WApr 25 · 08:45E. Precek—8680J. Palat—1111113
J. Skalicky10
WSep 12 · 08:40F. Chaloupka1.919970J. Skalicky1.801111113LSep 12 · 08:10J. Skalicky1.80591161F. Chaloupka1.9111118113LSep 12 · 06:40B. Moravec1.6141111113J. Skalicky2.20117541LSep 12 · 06:10A. Vitasek1.731111113J. Skalicky2.006480LAug 30 · 08:49J. Skalicky1.836124101F. Chaloupka1.83111011123LAug 30 · 08:10J. Skvrna1.67115911113J. Skalicky2.1091111652WAug 30 · 07:10J. Skalicky1.8311119113F. Chaloupka1.83791161LAug 30 · 05:40B. Moravec1.50117119113J. Skalicky2.5051121172WAug 29 · 09:19J. Skalicky1.7312711113A. Cizek2.001011451WAug 29 · 07:45J. Skalicky1.911111113D. Jr1.808480
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