TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12435903
Played Aug 15Finished
Tomas Krenek
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10126111315––––
Jiri Palat
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Krenek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Krenek above · Jiri Palat below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 13-15
Point 67 set 3, 13-15 — our read held Tomas Krenek at 54.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Krenek 0–2 Jiri Palat Tomas Krenek has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:28What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Krenek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Krenek 1584 vs Palat 1604
Palat
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krenek 20% vs Palat 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krenek 30% vs Palat 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krenek -4 · Palat -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Krenek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Palat form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrenek 1.67 / Palat 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Krenek)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #12435903
Krenek1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite51% won 109 of 214
Up 2–0, closes it92% 43 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it76% 73 of 96
Palat2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKrenek0wins
AwayPalat2wins
Palat leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away2
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKrenekPalatK − PBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match37.546.0−8.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrenekPalatBasisWin rate · lifetime399 / 806 vs 21 / 4149.5%51.2%399 / 806 vs 21 / 41Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.336.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrenekKrenek 1.67/Palat 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Krenek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Palat won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LDec 27 · 13:40T. Krenek4371311121J. Palat49111113143
LDec 27 · 12:10T. Krenek32831291J. Palat43111110113
T. Krenek10
LSep 11 · 12:33M. Macurak1.831111116113T. Krenek1.8361381192LSep 11 · 12:10T. Krenek1.737650D. Pawlik2.001111113LSep 11 · 10:40M. Macurak1.8311411113T. Krenek1.83711891LSep 11 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.91711118113T. Krenek1.8011341152LSep 11 · 08:38J. Krupnik1.8091311113T. Krenek1.911111491LSep 11 · 08:10J. Krupnik2.0016117113T. Krenek1.731441171LSep 11 · 07:10T. Krenek2.107111191J. Gembala1.6711137113LSep 11 · 05:40A. Vitasek1.5311117113T. Krenek2.38961181LSep 8 · 13:05T. Krenek1.91124581J. Skvrna1.80101111113LSep 8 · 11:40J. Skvrna1.731171011123T. Krenek2.00811129102
J. Palat10
LSep 12 · 18:40J. Palat2.20661161I. Heuman1.6111117113LSep 12 · 17:40J. Palat1.83311971P. Marsalek1.8311711113LAug 15 · 08:39J. Palat1.83912481T. Krenek1.83111011113LAug 15 · 07:10J. Palat2.2561111962J. Skalicky1.57114311113LAug 15 · 05:40B. Moravec1.5371111113J. Palat2.38114431LMay 9 · 21:15J. Palat—10770F. Chaloupka—1211113LMay 9 · 20:15J. Palat—88110I. Heuman—1111133WMay 9 · 18:45F. Chaloupka1.611081191J. Palat2.0912113113WMay 9 · 18:15J. Travnicek—11911792J. Palat—511711113WApr 25 · 08:45E. Precek—8680J. Palat—1111113
Upcoming Matches
T. Krenek
Nothing scheduled
J. Palat
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