TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13119291
Played Sep 12Finished
Jiri Palat
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611611117611––
Ivan Heuman
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:18 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeIvan Heuman to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Palat above · Ivan Heuman below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 69 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Ivan Heuman at 57.7%
69 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Palat 0–1 Ivan Heuman Jiri Palat has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:18What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Heuman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Palat 1571 vs Heuman 1571
Palat
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Palat 20% vs Heuman 40%
Heuman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Palat 40% vs Heuman 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Palat -2 · Heuman -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Heuman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heuman form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPalat 2.20 / Heuman 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Heuman)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13119291
Palat2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Heuman1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite46% won 50 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it69% 37 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePalat0wins
AwayHeuman1wins
Heuman leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricPalatHeumanP − HBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match27.035.0−8.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPalatHeumanBasisWin rate · lifetime22 / 46 vs 200 / 41047.8%48.8%22 / 46 vs 200 / 410Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.139.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeumanPalat 2.20/Heuman 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Heuman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Heuman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMay 9 · 20:15J. Palat2788110I. Heuman351111133
J. Palat10
LSep 12 · 17:40J. Palat1.83311971P. Marsalek1.8311711113LAug 15 · 08:39J. Palat1.83912481T. Krenek1.83111011113WAug 15 · 08:10T. Krenek1.67106130J. Palat2.101211153LAug 15 · 07:10J. Palat2.2561111962J. Skalicky1.57114311113LAug 15 · 05:40B. Moravec1.5371111113J. Palat2.38114431LMay 9 · 21:15J. Palat—10770F. Chaloupka—1211113LMay 9 · 20:15J. Palat—88110I. Heuman—1111133WMay 9 · 18:45F. Chaloupka1.611081191J. Palat2.0912113113WMay 9 · 18:15J. Travnicek—11911792J. Palat—511711113WApr 25 · 08:45E. Precek—8680J. Palat—1111113
I. Heuman10
LSep 12 · 18:10D. Vitasek1.831311113143I. Heuman1.83157711122LSep 12 · 17:20I. Heuman1.91119381E. Precek1.8071111113WSep 12 · 16:10I. Heuman2.101111119113E. Precek1.6759131182LSep 12 · 14:40D. Skulina1.6712141111113I. Heuman2.1014169932WSep 12 · 14:10D. Vitasek1.8341151142I. Heuman1.83118114113LSep 11 · 20:49I. Heuman1.67561161K. Kleprlik2.1011119113WSep 11 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.807111081I. Heuman1.9111812113LSep 11 · 19:15I. Heuman2.0051121132F. Chaloupka1.73116117113LSep 11 · 17:45D. Skulina1.7311118113I. Heuman2.00591191WMay 9 · 20:15J. Palat—88110I. Heuman—1111133
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