Jiri Palat vs Patrik Marsalek 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13119197

Played Sep 12Finished

Jiri Palat

Home

1.83

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

311117911711––

Patrik Marsalek

Away

1.83

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Jiri Palat to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingJiri Palat above · Patrik Marsalek below

Set 1 · 3-11

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 7-11

Point 70 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Jiri Palat at 54.0%

70 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 09:19

What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Marsalek

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Palat 1604 vs Marsalek 1503

Palat

Wrong

both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Palat 20% vs Marsalek 20%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Palat 50% vs Marsalek 30%

Palat

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Palat -1 · Marsalek -2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Palat)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Marsalek form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPalat 1.83 / Marsalek 1.83

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Palat)+4.0pp

TT Cup · #13119197

Palat1.83

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Marsalek1.83

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricPalatMarsalekBasisWin rate · lifetime21 / 41 vs 50 / 11051.2%45.5%21 / 41 vs 50 / 110Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Palat

Palat 1.83/Marsalek 1.83

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Palat · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Marsalek won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

J. Palat10