TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12435890
Played Aug 15Finished
Borek Moravec
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711114114113––
Jiri Palat
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:44 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeBorek Moravec to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBorek Moravec above · Jiri Palat below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 62 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Borek Moravec at 57.7%
62 points played in total.
H2H Borek Moravec 1–2 Jiri Palat Borek Moravec has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:44What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Moravec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1913 vs Palat 1621
Moravec
Correct
both rated, 292 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 100% vs Palat 60%
Moravec
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 90% vs Palat 50%
Moravec
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec +5 · Palat -2
Moravec
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Moravec) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Palat form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.53 / Palat 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Moravec)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #12435890
Moravec1.53
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite70% won 101 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it96% 46 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it84% 73 of 87
Palat2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMoravec1wins
AwayPalat2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderPalat leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec1Palat2n = 3Palat took 2 of 3
S2Moravec1Palat2n = 3Palat took 2 of 3
S3Moravec2Palat1n = 3Moravec took 2 of 3
S4Moravec1Palat2n = 3Palat took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMoravecPalatM − PBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match43.743.0+0.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecPalatBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 405 vs 21 / 4157%51.2%231 / 405 vs 21 / 41Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.236.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 1.53/Palat 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Moravec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WFeb 14 · 07:10B. Moravec48911116113J. Palat4111671162
LJan 31 · 14:25B. Moravec356811101J. Palat4011116123
LJan 31 · 13:10B. Moravec4811991182J. Palat48711118113
B. Moravec10
LSep 12 · 09:09A. Vitasek1.441111153B. Moravec2.6375130LSep 12 · 07:40B. Moravec2.259920A. Vitasek1.571111113WSep 12 · 06:40B. Moravec1.6141111113J. Skalicky2.20117541WSep 12 · 05:40B. Moravec1.501111113F. Chaloupka2.505380LSep 11 · 17:15F. Chaloupka2.4011118143B. Moravec1.509911121WSep 11 · 15:45B. Moravec1.8011118113J. Pribyl1.91861161WSep 11 · 14:45B. Moravec1.6711211113R. Benes2.10911771LSep 11 · 13:45B. Moravec1.44911681F. Chaloupka2.6311711113LSep 10 · 16:50B. Moravec1.4411741192F. Chaloupka2.63611114113LSep 10 · 15:45B. Moravec1.441061171J. Skvrna2.6312118113
J. Palat10
LSep 12 · 18:40J. Palat2.20661161I. Heuman1.6111117113LSep 12 · 17:40J. Palat1.83311971P. Marsalek1.8311711113LAug 15 · 08:39J. Palat1.83912481T. Krenek1.83111011113WAug 15 · 08:10T. Krenek1.67106130J. Palat2.101211153LAug 15 · 07:10J. Palat2.2561111962J. Skalicky1.57114311113LMay 9 · 21:15J. Palat—10770F. Chaloupka—1211113LMay 9 · 20:15J. Palat—88110I. Heuman—1111133WMay 9 · 18:45F. Chaloupka1.611081191J. Palat2.0912113113WMay 9 · 18:15J. Travnicek—11911792J. Palat—511711113WApr 25 · 08:45E. Precek—8680J. Palat—1111113
Upcoming Matches
B. Moravec
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J. Palat
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