TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13134105
Played Sep 15Finished
David Stusek
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
114711611911––
Adam Kanak
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:26 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeDavid Stusek to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDavid Stusek above · Adam Kanak below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 70 set 4, 9-11 — our read held David Stusek at 57.5%
70 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:26What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Stusek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Stusek 1573 vs Kanak 1555
Stusek
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stusek 40% vs Kanak 20%
Stusek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stusek 40% vs Kanak 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stusek -1 · Kanak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stusek) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanak form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStusek 1.80 / Kanak 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stusek)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13134105
Stusek1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 25 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it76% 16 of 21
Kanak1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog66% won 21 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back38% 6 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricStusekKanakBasisWin rate · lifetime89 / 181 vs 64 / 11149.2%57.7%89 / 181 vs 64 / 111Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StusekStusek 1.80/Kanak 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Stusek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kanak won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Stusek10
WSep 15 · 19:40J. Travnicek1.83961171D. Stusek1.8311116113WSep 15 · 19:10I. Heuman2.2010760D. Stusek1.611211113LSep 6 · 09:25J. Gembala1.611111113D. Stusek2.206970WSep 6 · 08:10F. Chaloupka1.911111711112D. Stusek1.80913119133LSep 6 · 07:10D. Stusek2.381210961J. Gembala1.53101211113WSep 6 · 05:40B. Moravec1.806950D. Stusek1.911111113LAug 26 · 17:03D. Stusek3.008760F. Chaloupka1.361111113WAug 26 · 16:15D. Stusek2.25121147113B. Mrowetz1.57109111182LAug 26 · 14:45J. Gembala1.831111113D. Stusek1.837860LAug 26 · 14:15F. Chaloupka1.831111159133D. Stusek1.83781711112
A. Kanak10
LSep 15 · 20:10A. Kanak2.00581141I. Heuman1.7311118113LSep 15 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.91991111113A. Kanak1.8011117872WSep 14 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.8311780A. Kanak1.831311113LSep 14 · 20:10A. Kanak1.831013100I. Heuman1.831215123LSep 14 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.83117711113A. Kanak1.8391111892LSep 14 · 18:10D. Vitasek1.831191112113A. Kanak1.8341161462LSep 12 · 12:39A. Kanak1.806450J. Pribyl1.911111113LSep 12 · 12:10A. Kanak2.0078100D. Jr1.731111123LSep 12 · 10:40M. Macurak1.831111113A. Kanak1.838780WSep 12 · 10:10J. Pribyl1.7311551192A. Kanak2.00811115113
Upcoming Matches
D. Stusek
Nothing scheduled
A. Kanak
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