TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13134384
Played Sep 15Finished
Adam Kanak
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511811118411––
Ivan Heuman
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:47 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeIvan Heuman to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Kanak above · Ivan Heuman below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 69 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Ivan Heuman at 54.1%
69 points played in total.
H2H Adam Kanak 2–3 Ivan Heuman Adam Kanak has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 09:47What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Heuman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kanak 1558 vs Heuman 1577
Heuman
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanak 40% vs Heuman 60%
Heuman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanak 30% vs Heuman 50%
Heuman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanak -1 · Heuman -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Heuman)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanak 2.00 / Heuman 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Heuman)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13134384
Kanak2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog66% won 21 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back38% 6 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Heuman1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite44% won 43 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it67% 31 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKanak2wins
AwayHeuman3wins
1 of 5 to a deciderHeuman leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKanakn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayHeuman60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanak0Heuman5n = 5Heuman took 5 of 5
S2Kanak3Heuman2n = 5Kanak took 3 of 5
S3Kanak2Heuman3n = 5Heuman took 3 of 5
S4Kanak1Heuman2n = 3Heuman took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricKanakHeumanK − HBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set05−5of 5Avg pointsper match35.638.4−2.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKanakHeumanBasisWin rate · lifetime65 / 113 vs 205 / 41957.5%48.9%65 / 113 vs 205 / 419Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakKanak 2.00/Heuman 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Heuman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Heuman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 14 · 20:10A. Kanak331013100I. Heuman391215123
LSep 10 · 18:15A. Kanak29611661I. Heuman3611311113
LAug 29 · 17:45A. Kanak2611690I. Heuman351311113
WAug 24 · 20:43A. Kanak3951112113I. Heuman371191071
WAug 24 · 20:10A. Kanak51911119113I. Heuman4511881172
A. Kanak10
WSep 15 · 20:40I. Heuman1.6310311101A. Kanak2.1512119123LSep 15 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.91991111113A. Kanak1.8011117872WSep 15 · 18:10D. Stusek1.80117691A. Kanak1.9141111113WSep 14 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.8311780A. Kanak1.831311113LSep 14 · 20:10A. Kanak1.831013100I. Heuman1.831215123LSep 14 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.83117711113A. Kanak1.8391111892LSep 14 · 18:10D. Vitasek1.831191112113A. Kanak1.8341161462LSep 12 · 12:39A. Kanak1.806450J. Pribyl1.911111113LSep 12 · 12:10A. Kanak2.0078100D. Jr1.731111123LSep 12 · 10:40M. Macurak1.831111113A. Kanak1.838780
I. Heuman10
LSep 15 · 20:40I. Heuman1.6310311101A. Kanak2.1512119123LSep 15 · 19:10I. Heuman2.2010760D. Stusek1.611211113LSep 15 · 17:40J. Travnicek1.67124912113I. Heuman2.101011111092WSep 14 · 21:10I. Heuman2.00111111123D. Vitasek1.739913101WSep 14 · 20:10A. Kanak1.831013100I. Heuman1.831215123WSep 14 · 19:10I. Heuman1.831111113D. Vitasek1.837680WSep 14 · 17:40J. Travnicek1.61991291I. Heuman2.20111110113LSep 12 · 20:39I. Heuman1.55114591J. Palat2.3041111113LSep 12 · 20:10I. Heuman1.61511751P. Marsalek2.2011611113WSep 12 · 18:40J. Palat2.20661161I. Heuman1.6111117113
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