TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13129182
Played Sep 14Finished
Adam Kanak
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
101213151012––––
Ivan Heuman
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Kanak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAdam Kanak above · Ivan Heuman below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 72 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Adam Kanak at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Adam Kanak 2–2 Ivan Heuman Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:25What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Heuman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kanak 1568 vs Heuman 1575
Heuman
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanak 0% vs Heuman 60%
Heuman
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanak 40% vs Heuman 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanak -5 · Heuman +2
Kanak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kanak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanak form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanak 1.83 / Heuman 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kanak)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13129182
Kanak1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Heuman1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKanak2wins
AwayHeuman2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKanakn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayHeuman50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanak0Heuman4n = 4Heuman took 4 of 4
S2Kanak3Heuman1n = 4Kanak took 3 of 4
S3Kanak2Heuman2n = 4split evenly
S4Kanak1Heuman2n = 3Heuman took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricKanakHeumanK − HBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match36.238.2−2.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKanakHeumanBasisWin rate · lifetime63 / 109 vs 203 / 41557.8%48.9%63 / 109 vs 203 / 415Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakKanak 1.83/Heuman 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Heuman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 10 · 18:15A. Kanak29611661I. Heuman3611311113
LAug 29 · 17:45A. Kanak2611690I. Heuman351311113
WAug 24 · 20:43A. Kanak3951112113I. Heuman371191071
WAug 24 · 20:10A. Kanak51911119113I. Heuman4511881172
A. Kanak10
WSep 14 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.8311780A. Kanak1.831311113LSep 14 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.83117711113A. Kanak1.8391111892LSep 14 · 18:10D. Vitasek1.831191112113A. Kanak1.8341161462LSep 12 · 12:39A. Kanak1.806450J. Pribyl1.911111113LSep 12 · 12:10A. Kanak2.0078100D. Jr1.731111123LSep 12 · 10:40M. Macurak1.831111113A. Kanak1.838780WSep 12 · 10:10J. Pribyl1.7311551192A. Kanak2.00811115113LSep 12 · 09:08A. Kanak1.447860L. Kantor2.631111113WSep 12 · 07:45A. Kanak1.611111113L. Kantor2.204860WSep 12 · 06:45A. Kanak1.67871111113T. Lysek2.1011117582
I. Heuman10
WSep 14 · 19:10I. Heuman1.831111113D. Vitasek1.837680WSep 14 · 17:40J. Travnicek1.61991291I. Heuman2.20111110113LSep 12 · 20:39I. Heuman1.55114591J. Palat2.3041111113LSep 12 · 20:10I. Heuman1.61511751P. Marsalek2.2011611113WSep 12 · 18:40J. Palat2.20661161I. Heuman1.6111117113LSep 12 · 18:10D. Vitasek1.831311113143I. Heuman1.83157711122LSep 12 · 17:20I. Heuman1.91119381E. Precek1.8071111113WSep 12 · 16:10I. Heuman2.101111119113E. Precek1.6759131182LSep 12 · 14:40D. Skulina1.6712141111113I. Heuman2.1014169932WSep 12 · 14:10D. Vitasek1.8341151142I. Heuman1.83118114113
Upcoming Matches
A. Kanak
Nothing scheduled
I. Heuman
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