TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13131412
Played Sep 14Finished
Jakub Travnicek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113711811––––
Adam Kanak
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
How it is goingJakub Travnicek above · Adam Kanak below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 62 set 3, 8-11
62 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Travnicek 5–1 Adam Kanak Adam Kanak has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Travnicek beat Kanak 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Travnicek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanak form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTravnicek 1.83 / Kanak 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Travnicek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13131412
Travnicek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kanak1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeTravnicek5wins
AwayKanak1wins
3 of 6 to a deciderTravnicek leads 5–1, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTravnicek100%5 of 5
AwayKanakn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Travnicek5Kanak1n = 6Travnicek took 5 of 6
S2Travnicek2Kanak4n = 6Kanak took 4 of 6
S3Travnicek2Kanak4n = 6Kanak took 4 of 6
S4Travnicek4Kanak2n = 6Travnicek took 4 of 6
S5Travnicek3Kanak0n = 3Travnicek took 3 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home350%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricTravnicekKanakT − KBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match44.344.0+0.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTravnicekKanakBasisWin rate · lifetime204 / 412 vs 63 / 11049.5%57.3%204 / 412 vs 63 / 110Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TravnicekTravnicek 1.83/Kanak 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Travnicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kanak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 14 · 18:40J. Travnicek47117711113A. Kanak4891111892
WSep 10 · 21:18J. Travnicek531311810113A. Kanak51118111292
LSep 10 · 18:45J. Travnicek31411881A. Kanak4111811113
WSep 1 · 21:15J. Travnicek46117611113A. Kanak4791111972
WSep 1 · 18:15J. Travnicek4814811153A. Kanak4212116131
WAug 24 · 19:10J. Travnicek4111712113A. Kanak355111091
J. Travnicek10
LSep 14 · 19:40J. Travnicek2.00211591D. Vitasek1.7311311113WSep 14 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.83117711113A. Kanak1.8391111892LSep 14 · 17:40J. Travnicek1.61991291I. Heuman2.20111110113WSep 10 · 21:18A. Kanak1.83118111292J. Travnicek1.831311810113WSep 10 · 19:45J. Travnicek1.67911116113I. Heuman2.1011531162LSep 10 · 18:45J. Travnicek1.73411881A. Kanak2.0011811113WSep 10 · 17:45J. Travnicek1.6712114143P. Marsalek2.1010511121LSep 7 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.8324130D. Skulina1.831111153WSep 7 · 20:15J. Travnicek1.8011911113R. Sedlacek1.91611651WSep 7 · 18:45D. Skulina1.735970J. Travnicek2.001111113
A. Kanak10
LSep 14 · 20:10A. Kanak1.831013100I. Heuman1.831215123LSep 14 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.83117711113A. Kanak1.8391111892LSep 14 · 18:10D. Vitasek1.831191112113A. Kanak1.8341161462LSep 12 · 12:39A. Kanak1.806450J. Pribyl1.911111113LSep 12 · 12:10A. Kanak2.0078100D. Jr1.731111123LSep 12 · 10:40M. Macurak1.831111113A. Kanak1.838780WSep 12 · 10:10J. Pribyl1.7311551192A. Kanak2.00811115113LSep 12 · 09:08A. Kanak1.447860L. Kantor2.631111113LSep 10 · 21:18A. Kanak1.83118111292J. Travnicek1.831311810113WSep 10 · 18:45J. Travnicek1.73411881A. Kanak2.0011811113
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